Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Chal J.
24'
24'
Blanco R.
27'
27'
Guzman D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-1, with Saprissa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Saprissa come out ahead of Liberia on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Saprissa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Saprissa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 18%
Liberia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saprissa | Liberia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.88 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Liberia
2:0
May 3, 2026 Primera Division
Liberia vs Saprissa
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Liberia
1:2
Mar 29, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Saprissa vs Liberia
5:1
Mar 26, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Liberia vs Saprissa
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Saprissa Compare
Top Goalscorer Sinclair O.
2 Goals Assists Leader Guzman D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44
Liberia Compare
Top Goalscorer Chal J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saprissa 32 / 100
Liberia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saprissa Liberia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Saprissa found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).
Liberia let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Saprissa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Saprissa VS Liberia
2.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Saprissa
(Home) 18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0 Saprissa
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0 Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1 Herediano
10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0 Liberia
03 May
Liberia
1 : 1 Saprissa
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14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1 Herediano
10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0 Liberia
23 Apr
Saprissa
5 : 0 Guadalupe
12 Apr
Saprissa
1 : 2 Liberia
05 Apr
Saprissa
4 : 0 Zeledon
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Liberia
(Away) 10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0 Liberia
03 May
Liberia
1 : 1 Saprissa
26 Apr
Liberia
2 : 1 Alajuelense
22 Apr
Sporting FC
0 : 1 Liberia
18 Apr
Liberia
1 : 0 Cartagines
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10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0 Liberia
22 Apr
Sporting FC
0 : 1 Liberia
12 Apr
Saprissa
1 : 2 Liberia
29 Mar
Saprissa
5 : 1 Liberia
21 Mar
Puntarenas FC
0 : 1 Liberia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Alajuelense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
ADR Cobano4
Liberia8
AD Rosario1
ADR Jicaral3
Saprissa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter San Carlos1
Carmelita3
San Carlos1
Cariari Pococi2
Herediano-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quepos FC2
Zeledon5
Escorpiones3
Puntarenas FC4
Sporting FC3
CS Uruguay0
Aserri5
Guadalupe6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cartagines-
1/8-finals
Alajuelense-
TBD-
Liberia1
ADR Jicaral0
Saprissa-
TBD-
Carmelita3
Cariari Pococi1
Herediano-
TBD-
Zeledon1
Puntarenas FC2
Sporting FC7
Guadalupe2
TBD-
Cartagines-
Quarter-finals
Alajuelense1
Liberia4
Saprissa10
Carmelita2
Herediano1
Puntarenas FC3
Sporting FC6
Cartagines2
Semi-finals
Liberia2
Saprissa6
Puntarenas FC2
Sporting FC3
Final
Saprissa3
Sporting FC1