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Saprissa vs San Carlos

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Martinez C.
32'
Brenes J.
46'
Sub
Castillo Cespedes G. In: Evans J.
Out: Castillo Cespedes G.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Saprissa and San Carlos finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saprissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Saprissa
15%
Draws
54%
San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Saprissa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Saprissa have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 20%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saprissa San Carlos
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 23 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.14 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs San Carlos
2:1
Mar 23, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Saprissa
1:3
Feb 8, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs San Carlos
2:1
Oct 16, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Saprissa
0:2
Aug 2, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs San Carlos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

San Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerdas K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saprissa 32 / 100
San Carlos 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saprissa San Carlos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saprissa scored in 92% of their last 36 outings.

San Carlos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Saprissa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saprissa VS San Carlos
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saprissa

(Home)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
Page 1 of 8

San Carlos

(Away)
12 Sept
Zeledon
0 : 2
San Carlos
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
30 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 2
Puntarenas FC
24 Aug
Alajuelense
0 : 1
San Carlos
15 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 0
Herediano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Cartagines 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
3 Sporting FC 9 5 2 2 16:8 17
4 Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
5 Inter San Carlos 9 4 2 3 9:12 14
6 San Carlos 8 4 0 4 7:9 12
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
8 Zeledon 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
9 Herediano 9 2 1 6 8:14 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)