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Saprissa vs San Carlos

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San José
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saprissa host San Carlos in the Primera Division. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. San Carlos have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Saprissa have conceded 0.75 and scored 2.5. Head-to-head, Saprissa have won 5 to San Carlos's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 23, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.90 vs 0.88, favoring Saprissa. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Saprissa
20%
Draws
38%
San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saprissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Saprissa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Saprissa's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Saprissa have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 20%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saprissa San Carlos
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 22 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Saprissa
1:3
Feb 8, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs San Carlos
2:1
Oct 16, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Saprissa
0:2
Aug 2, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs San Carlos
2:0
Mar 9, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs San Carlos
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saprissa 42 / 100
San Carlos 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saprissa San Carlos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saprissa scored in 86% of their last 37 outings.

San Carlos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Saprissa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saprissa VS San Carlos
2.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.29
100% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Saprissa

(Home)
25 Jul
Saprissa
5 : 1
Zeledon
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0
Liberia
Page 1 of 8

San Carlos

(Away)
25 Apr
San Carlos
1 : 1
Zeledon
22 Apr
Cartagines
2 : 1
San Carlos
19 Apr
Herediano
1 : 0
San Carlos
13 Apr
San Carlos
4 : 0
Guadalupe
07 Apr
Liberia
5 : 1
San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saprissa11005:13
2Cartagines11003:13
3Alajuelense10101:11
4Herediano10101:11
5Puntarenas FC10101:11
6Sporting FC10101:11
7San Carlos00000:00
8Escorpiones00000:00
9Inter San Carlos10011:30
10Zeledon10011:50
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)