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Saran vs Cherbourg

France France

Coupe de France 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
60' Event
68' Event

AI Match Summary

Cherbourg in this Coupe de France 2011/2012 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Saran
15%
Draws
51%
Cherbourg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cherbourg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cherbourg have won more games recently than Saran.
  • Model gives Saran a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Cherbourg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cherbourg, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Saran Clean Sheet 16%
Cherbourg Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saran Cherbourg
Matches Played 6 31
Wins 2 10
Draws 0 9
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2011 Coupe de France
Saran vs Cherbourg
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saran 41 / 100
Cherbourg 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saran Cherbourg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saran's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Cherbourg let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Saran went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saran VS Cherbourg
0 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Saran

(Home)
16 Nov
Saran
0 : 2
Tours
11 Dec
Saran
1 : 2
Cherbourg
20 Nov
Saran
3 : 2
Bretigny Foot
15 Dec
Saran
0 : 3
Nantes
24 Nov
Saran
3 : 0
Evry
Page 1 of 2

Cherbourg

(Away)
18 Nov
Grand Quevilly
4 : 1
Cherbourg
24 May
Saint-Malo
1 : 2
Cherbourg
17 May
Cherbourg
2 : 0
Nantes II
10 May
Romorantin
0 : 1
Cherbourg
03 May
Cherbourg
0 : 1
Stade Bordelais
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bourg de Peage 1
Castelnau 0
Annecy 1
Lyon - La Duchere 4
Avranches 5
Evolucas Lamentin 0
Goelands 0
Les Herbiers 2
Trelissac 3
Balma 1
Chataigneraie 0
Lucon 1
Creteil 4
Ornans 0
La Chapelle 0
Villers-Outreaux 2
Beaune 4
Saverne 0
Belfort 0
Mulhouse 1
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Dijon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alfortville 1
Les Lilas 0
Romorantin 1
Versailles 3
Thiers 3
La Tronches 1
Avrille 0
Fontenay 8
Lyon Decines 2
Domerat 1
Bourges 0
Istres 3
Sable 4
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
US Matoury 0
La Vitreenne 4
Jarville 1
Magny 0
Macon 0
Sedan 1
St. Colomban Locmine 7
Olonne sur Mer Stade 2
Fougeres 0
Vannes 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Schiltigheim 2
Saint Die 1
Saint Avold 1
Prix les Mezieres 3
Vitre 3
Cesson 2
Pontivy 1
Les Sables 2
Brive 1
Luzenac 0
Avion 0
Tours 1
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arras 3
Dizier 1
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Chambly 2
Cherbourg 3
Chauray 2
Bretigny Foot 2
Saran 3
Chamalieres 1
Vallee de la Gresse 0
Ytrac 0
Chateauroux 4
JA Drancy 3
Sezanne 0
Moulins 0
Evry 2
Pontarlier 3
Amiens SC 1
Verdun Belleville 0
Strasbourg 2
Boulogne 1
Wasquehal 0
Yutz 0
Paris FC 3
Rodeo 1
Aurillac 0
La Fleche 1
Limoges 2
Troyes 2
Nouaille 0
Abeilles Mtsamboro 0
Raon L Etape 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caen -
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Calvi 1
Ardziv Marseille 0
Gieres 2
GFC Ajaccio 10
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nancy -
Marck 1
Aire 0
Adamswiller 0
Reims 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Valence 2
Arles-Avignon 0
La Tour Sportive 0
Grenoble 6
Sannois 2
Lens 1
La Suze 0
Laval 1
Metz 4
Beauvais 1
Tamponnaise 3
Amneville 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thonon-Evian -
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Le Portel 1
Dieppe 0
La Gorgue 0
Chantilly 1
Montagnarde 2
Mondeville 1
Alencon 1
Change 2
Dunkerque 1
Rouen 0
Gaitcha 0
Compiegne 9
Bastia 8
La Seyne 0
Holtzwihr Racing 0
Louhans Cuiseaux 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sochaux -
Le Mans 3
Plouhinec 0
Saint-Malo 1
Guingamp 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valenciennes -
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forbach 5
Haguenau 1
Tefana 1
Red Star 2
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gravelines 3
Deville Maromme 0
Amiens AC 1
Le Havre 3
AC Ajaccio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Canet Roussillon 1
Cugnaux 0
Aubagne FC 0
Frejus Saint Raphael 1
Montceau 3
Sundhoffen 0
Felix Pyat 0
Pont Du Gard 1
Saint Vit 2
Dinsheim 1
Montelimar 1
Bourg Peronnas 4
Orleans 2
Feytiat 0
CS Belimois 2
Ivry 4
Stade Montois 2
Sarlat Marcillac 0
Feurs 1
Clermont 2
Brest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bayonne 1
Auch 0
Tarbes 1
Niort 4
Angers 2
La Guerche Drouges 1
Longuenesse 1
Calais 3
Tour Saint Clair 2
Grande Motte 0
Ales 0
Monaco 5
TA Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Feignies (inactive) 3
St Quentin 2
Clermontois 2
Quevilly 5
1/64-finals
Lyon -
TBD -
Bourg de Peage 1
Lyon - La Duchere 3
Avranches 3
Les Herbiers 1
Trelissac 0
Lucon 1
Creteil 4
Villers-Outreaux 2
Beaune 2
Mulhouse 3
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Dijon -
TBD -
Alfortville 0
Versailles 2
Thiers 4
Fontenay 2
Lyon Decines 0
Istres 6
Sable 4
La Vitreenne 1
Jarville 0
Sedan 4
St. Colomban Locmine 2
Vannes 1
TBD -
PSG -
Montpellier -
TBD -
Schiltigheim 0
Prix les Mezieres 1
Vitre 3
Les Sables 2
Brive 0
Tours 1
Auxerre -
TBD -
Arras 0
Chambly 2
Cherbourg 2
Saran 1
Chamalieres 0
Chateauroux 6
JA Drancy 2
Evry 1
Pontarlier 0
Strasbourg 1
Boulogne 3
Paris FC 0
Rodeo 1
Limoges 2
Troyes 4
Raon L Etape 3
TBD -
Caen -
Toulouse -
TBD -
Calvi 0
GFC Ajaccio 3
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
Nancy -
Marck 2
Reims 1
TBD -
Nice -
Valence 3
Grenoble 2
Sannois 0
Laval 2
Metz 3
Amneville 2
TBD -
Thonon-Evian -
Lille -
TBD -
Le Portel 0
Chantilly 1
Montagnarde 2
Change 1
Dunkerque 1
Compiegne 2
Bastia 4
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
TBD -
Sochaux -
Le Mans 1
Guingamp 0
TBD -
Valenciennes -
Marseille -
TBD -
Forbach 0
Red Star 1
Lorient -
TBD -
Gravelines 1
Le Havre 2
AC Ajaccio -
TBD -
Canet Roussillon 1
Frejus Saint Raphael 3
Montceau 1
Pont Du Gard 0
Saint Vit 0
Bourg Peronnas 3
Orleans 1
Ivry 0
Stade Montois 0
Clermont 1
Brest -
TBD -
Bayonne 2
Niort 3
Angers 2
Calais 1
Tour Saint Clair 0
Monaco 2
TA Rennes -
TBD -
SC Feignies (inactive) 1
Quevilly 2
1/32-finals
Lyon 3
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Avranches 1
Lucon 2
Creteil 3
Mulhouse 1
St Etienne 1
Bordeaux 2
Dijon 5
Versailles 1
Thiers 1
Istres 4
Sable 4
Sedan 3
St. Colomban Locmine 1
PSG 2
Montpellier 4
Prix les Mezieres 0
Vitre 1
Tours 2
Auxerre 1
Chambly 0
Cherbourg 1
Chateauroux 2
JA Drancy 4
Strasbourg 3
Boulogne 0
Limoges 1
Troyes 4
Caen 2
Toulouse 0
GFC Ajaccio 1
Rennes 3
Nancy 0
Marck 0
Nice 2
Valence 2
Laval 1
Metz 2
Thonon-Evian 3
Lille 6
Chantilly 0
Montagnarde 1
Compiegne 2
Bastia 4
Sochaux 1
Le Mans 0
Valenciennes 2
Marseille 5
Red Star 0
Lorient 3
Le Havre 4
AC Ajaccio 3
Frejus Saint Raphael 0
Montceau 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Orleans 1
Clermont 0
Brest 0
Niort 2
Angers 4
Monaco 3
TA Rennes 0
Quevilly 1
1/16-finals
Lyon 2
Lucon 0
Creteil 2
Bordeaux 3
Dijon 2
Istres 1
Sable 0
PSG 4
Montpellier 1
Tours 0
Auxerre 1
Chateauroux 2
JA Drancy 2
Limoges 0
Troyes 0
GFC Ajaccio 1
Rennes 1
Nice 0
Valence 0
Thonon-Evian 2
Lille 1
Compiegne 0
Bastia 1
Valenciennes 3
Marseille 3
Le Havre 1
AC Ajaccio 2
Bourg Peronnas 3
Orleans 2
Niort 1
Angers 0
Quevilly 1
1/8-finals
Lyon 3
Bordeaux 1
Dijon 0
PSG 1
Montpellier 2
Chateauroux 0
JA Drancy 0
GFC Ajaccio 2
Rennes 3
Thonon-Evian 2
Lille 1
Valenciennes 2
Marseille 3
Bourg Peronnas 1
Orleans 0
Quevilly 2
Quarter-finals
Lyon 3
PSG 1
Montpellier 0
GFC Ajaccio 1
Rennes 3
Valenciennes 1
Marseille 2
Quevilly 3
Semi-finals
Lyon 4
GFC Ajaccio 0
Rennes 1
Quevilly 2
Final
Lyon 1
Quevilly 0