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Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi FC

USA USA

USL League One Premier Sports Campus, Lakewood Ranch, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Cerritos R.
35'
Pettersen J.
42' Event
Rosa A.
Assist: Roed S.

AI Match Summary

Sarasota Paradise in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarasota Paradise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sarasota Paradise
33%
Draws
40%
Corpus Christi FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Corpus Christi FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Corpus Christi FC at 1.38 per game, Sarasota Paradise at 1.25.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Corpus Christi FC taking it.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 20%
Corpus Christi FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarasota Paradise Corpus Christi FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 3 9
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 USL League One
Corpus Christi FC vs Sarasota Paradise
4:1
Apr 22, 2026 USL League One
Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarasota Paradise Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roed S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Corpus Christi FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bowen B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarasota Paradise 28 / 100
Corpus Christi FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarasota Paradise Corpus Christi FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Sarasota Paradise found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Corpus Christi FC conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sarasota Paradise stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarasota Paradise VS Corpus Christi FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarasota Paradise

(Home)
11 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
0 : 5
Miami FC
08 Jul
Greenville Triumph
0 : 0
Sarasota Paradise
03 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 0
Sarasota Paradise
21 Jun
Corpus Christi FC
4 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
13 Jun
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 0
Union Omaha
Page 1 of 6

Corpus Christi FC

(Away)
18 Jul
New York Cosmos
0 : 0
Corpus Christi FC
12 Jul
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2
One Knoxville
04 Jul
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
01 Jul
Charlotte Independence
2 : 1
Corpus Christi FC
25 Jun
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 0
AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha18112529:2135
2One Knoxville16103330:1633
3Charlotte Independence1693436:2530
4Spokane Velocity1792622:2129
5AV Alta FC1877426:2128
6Athletic Club Boise1783625:2427
7Fort Wayne1676324:1427
8Forward Madison1482426:1426
9Chattanooga Red Wolves1481527:1725
10Portland Hearts of Pine1755726:2820
11Corpus Christi FC1747620:2619
12Westchester SC1753928:2518
13Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
14FC Naples17521018:2717
15Greenville Triumph1442814:2414
16Richmond Kickers16331012:3012
17New York Cosmos16321117:3611
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)