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Sarasota Paradise vs Tampa Bay U23

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2024 game between Sarasota Paradise and Tampa Bay U23 finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sarasota Paradise
39%
Draws
30%
Tampa Bay U23
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Tampa Bay U23 haven't matched Sarasota Paradise's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 16%
Tampa Bay U23 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarasota Paradise Tampa Bay U23
Matches Played 37 27
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2024 USL League Two
Sarasota Paradise vs Tampa Bay U23
1:1
Jun 12, 2024 USL League Two
Sarasota Paradise vs Tampa Bay U23
4:4
May 29, 2024 USL League Two
Tampa Bay U23 vs Sarasota Paradise
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarasota Paradise 31 / 100
Tampa Bay U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarasota Paradise Tampa Bay U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tampa Bay U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Sarasota Paradise's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Sarasota Paradise went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarasota Paradise VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarasota Paradise

(Home)
26 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2
Sarasota Paradise
11 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
0 : 5
Miami FC
08 Jul
Greenville Triumph
0 : 0
Sarasota Paradise
03 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 0
Sarasota Paradise
21 Jun
Corpus Christi FC
4 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
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Tampa Bay U23

(Away)
10 Jul
Tampa Bay U23
1 : 3
St. Petersburg FC
03 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1
Tampa Bay U23
29 Jun
Tampa Bay U23
3 : 2
Miami AC
26 Jun
Swan City
1 : 2
Tampa Bay U23
22 Jun
St. Petersburg FC
1 : 1
Tampa Bay U23
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