Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saratov vs Ural

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Stadion Lokomotiv, Saratov
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Zheleznov Y.
46'
Sub
Bykov A. In: Mukhin A.
Out: Bykov A.
46'
Sub
Maltsev M. In: Kovacevic V.
Out: Maltsev M.

AI Match Summary

Ural in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ural.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Saratov
30%
Draws
43%
Ural
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ural

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Ural have won more games recently than Saratov.
  • Model gives Ural a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Saratov Clean Sheet 21%
Ural Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saratov Ural
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 FNL
Saratov vs Ural
0:3
Nov 1, 2025 FNL
Ural vs Saratov
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 FNL
Saratov vs Ural
0:0
Oct 15, 2024 Russian Cup
Saratov vs Ural
1:3
Aug 3, 2024 FNL
Ural vs Saratov
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saratov Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Ural Compare

Top Goalscorer Zheleznov Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akbashev R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saratov 20 / 100
Ural 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saratov Ural

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ural Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Saratov has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Saratov scored in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Ural let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Saratov VS Ural
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saratov

(Home)
16 Aug
Dynamo Vladivostok
1 : 0
Saratov
12 Aug
Saratov
3 : 1
Ilpar FC
08 Aug
Saratov
2 : 1
Alania Vladikavkaz
02 Aug
Mashuk
1 : 1
Saratov
26 Jul
Saratov
0 : 1
Kirov
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Ural

(Away)
14 Aug
R. Volgograd
1 : 1
Ural
08 Aug
Ural
3 : 0
Ufa
02 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
0 : 3
Ural
26 Jul
Leningradets
0 : 0
Ural
19 Jul
Ural
3 : 0
Yenisey
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 34 19 11 4 58:28 68
2 Fakel Voronezh 34 20 8 6 44:22 68
3 Ural 34 18 7 9 51:31 61
4 R. Volgograd 34 15 11 8 47:26 56
5 Kamaz 34 12 13 9 46:34 49
6 Yenisey 34 13 10 11 37:35 49
7 S. Kostroma 34 12 13 9 46:41 49
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 34 11 15 8 34:28 48
9 Torpedo Moscow 34 12 10 12 37:39 46
10 Chelyabinsk 34 10 14 10 42:40 44
11 Neftekhimik 34 10 13 11 40:41 43
12 SKA Khabarovsk 34 10 12 12 37:45 42
13 Arsenal Tula 34 8 15 11 42:44 39
14 Ulyanovsk 34 9 10 15 35:48 37
15 Ufa 34 9 10 15 32:40 37
16 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 34 9 8 17 37:49 35
17 Saratov 34 5 11 18 16:44 26
18 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 34 5 7 22 30:76 22
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)