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Sarbogard vs Dombovari

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-6, with Dombovari advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sarbogard
15%
Draws
0%
Dombovari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarbogard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sarbogard carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sarbogard a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Sarbogard have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dombovari, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 17%
Dombovari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarbogard Dombovari
Matches Played 18 31
Wins 4 1
Draws 1 2
Losses 13 28
Goals Scored 1.17 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.39 3.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Hungarian Cup
Sarbogard vs Dombovari
1:6
Aug 5, 2023 Hungarian Cup
Sarbogard vs Dombovari
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarbogard 84 / 100
Dombovari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarbogard Dombovari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarbogard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dombovari let in goals in 100% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Difficult form: Dombovari registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sarbogard's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sarbogard VS Dombovari
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarbogard

(Home)
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Sarbogard
2 : 1
Szekszardi
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
26 Aug
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Siofok
21 Aug
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
Sarbogard
Page 1 of 4

Dombovari

(Away)
24 May
Kaposvar
6 : 2
Dombovari
17 May
Dombovari
1 : 5
Siofok
10 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Dombovari
03 May
Dombovari
0 : 8
Nagykanizsa FC
26 Apr
Ivancsa
3 : 0
Dombovari
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Hodoscsepanyi SE 1
Gyulahaza 0
Salgotarjani BTC 3
Marshall-Andornaktalya SE 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Karancslapujto 0
Senyo 3
Tarpa 3
Tiszaujvaros 1
Villanyi 1
Kelen 2
Bonyhad 0
Dunaujvaros 8
TFSE-Tent Budapest 0
Ivancsa 3
Penzugyor SE 2
Szekszardi 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kazincbarcika -
Sarisapi Banyasz 5
Teskand 0
Szarvaskend 2
Zalaszentgroti 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
REAC 3
FC Dabas 2
Janoshalmi 0
Tiszafoldvar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karcagi -
Kiraly SE 1
Mosonmagyarovari TE 4
Gyirmot FC Gyor 4
Sopron 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Nagybajom 0
Kaposvar 4
Szepetnek 0
Erdi 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Tatai 2
Koppanymonostori SE 3
Sarvari FC 5
Zalalovoi 3
Dunakeszi 0
Pilisi 2
Issimo 4
Kiskunfelegyhaza TSI 0
Mohacsi 2
Toponar 0
Komloi 1
Majosi 3
Paszto SK-Real-Immo Sport 1
Godollo 4
MVSC 1
Ozd-Sajovolgye 4
Videoton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Moragyi SE 2
Airnergy FC 1
Fonix Gold 1
Siofok 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Szegedi 0
Gyulai Termal 4
Csepel 2
Monori 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
Kecskemeti TE -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
Jaszfenyszarui 0
Hatvan FC 5
Hajduszoboszloi 1
Tiszafuredi 5
Nyirmeggyes SK 3
CSO-Ki Sport 5
Unicum FC Mohora 1
Putnok VSE 4
Devecser 1
Bicskei 10
Csesztreg 0
VSC Veszprem 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Bony 1
Ujperint SE 0
Mori SE 4
Urkut 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Honved -
Dombovari LK 0
Budaorsi SC 2
Bajai 0
Nagykanizsa FC 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Szolnoki MAV 3
Jamina SE 1
OMTK-ULE 3
Dunaharaszti MTK 7
Bordany SK 2
Makoi 1
Rackeve 0
ESMTK Budapest 7
Martely SK 0
Epitok 1
Mezoturi 0
Martfui LSE 3
Harkany SE 1
Sarbogard 3
Dunafoldvar 1
Dombovari 8
Mezomegyer 2
Szajol 4
Solti FC 1
Rakoczifalva 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Mezoberenyi LE 0
Sandorfalvi 3
Sarreti 1
Hodmezovasarhely 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DVTK -
Soproni FAC 0
Intretech Kapuvari SE 4
Menfocsanak 1
Dorogi FC 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mezokeresztes 0
Mateszalkai MTK 4
Tallya 1
Vasarosnameny SE 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Sajobabony Vegyesz 1
Csenger 0
Gyongyosi 0
Eger 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Budafoki MTE -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Koronco 0
Mezoors 1
Tihanyi 1
Haladas VSE 6
Balatonalmadi 5
Kormendi 0
Komaromi VSE 6
Papai Perutz 4
Nagyatadi 3
Balatonlelle 2
GA Gyogyfurdo 1
Pecsi MFC 10
Patak FC 0
Debreceni EAC 14
Hajdusamsoni 0
Cigand SE 2
Hevesi 2
Ujfeherto 4
Monostorpalyi 1
Fuzesabony 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Mezofalva 0
Lajoskomarom 2
Unione 2
PTE-PEAC 4
Vecsesi 1
III. Keruleti TVE 2
Kiskorosi 0
BKV Elore 3
Nyergesujfalu 2
Celldomolki Vse 0
Balatonfuredi 2
Tatabanya 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soroksar -
1/64-finals
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Hodoscsepanyi SE 0
Salgotarjani BTC 3
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Senyo 0
Tarpa 4
Kelen 1
Dunaujvaros 0
Ivancsa 2
Penzugyor SE 1
TBD -
Kazincbarcika -
Sarisapi Banyasz 1
Szarvaskend 2
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
REAC 1
Tiszafoldvar 0
TBD -
Karcagi -
Mosonmagyarovari TE 0
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
TBD -
Csakvari -
Kaposvar 2
Erdi 3
TBD -
Gyor -
Koppanymonostori SE 1
Sarvari FC 2
Pilisi 5
Issimo 1
Mohacsi 2
Majosi 4
Godollo 4
Ozd-Sajovolgye 1
Videoton -
TBD -
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Moragyi SE 1
Siofok 8
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Gyulai Termal 3
Csepel 0
TBD -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
Kecskemeti TE -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
Hatvan FC 0
Tiszafuredi 4
CSO-Ki Sport 0
Putnok VSE 3
Bicskei 0
VSC Veszprem 2
TBD -
Debrecen -
Bony 2
Mori SE 4
TBD -
Honved -
Budaorsi SC 1
Nagykanizsa FC 2
TBD -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Szolnoki MAV 2
Dunaharaszti MTK 1
Bordany SK 0
ESMTK Budapest 8
Epitok 1
Martfui LSE 3
Sarbogard 1
Dombovari 6
Szajol 6
Rakoczifalva 1
TBD -
Paks -
Sandorfalvi 1
Hodmezovasarhely 2
TBD -
DVTK -
Intretech Kapuvari SE 0
Dorogi FC 1
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mateszalkai MTK 0
Vasarosnameny SE 1
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Sajobabony Vegyesz 1
Eger 4
TBD -
Budafoki MTE -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Mezoors 3
Haladas VSE 2
Balatonalmadi 1
Komaromi VSE 2
Nagyatadi 0
Pecsi MFC 4
Debreceni EAC 2
Cigand SE 1
Ujfeherto 1
Fuzesabony 2
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Lajoskomarom 1
PTE-PEAC 3
III. Keruleti TVE 5
BKV Elore 0
Nyergesujfalu 0
Tatabanya 3
TBD -
Soroksar -
1/32-finals
Ajka 3
Kisvarda FC 1
Salgotarjani BTC 1
Tiszakecske 4
Tarpa 2
Kelen 3
Ivancsa 0
Kazincbarcika 1
Szarvaskend 0
Ferencvaros 15
Bekescsaba 1912 1
Nyiregyhaza 0
REAC 2
Karcagi 4
Gyirmot FC Gyor 0
Csakvari 1
Erdi 0
Gyor 3
Sarvari FC 2
Pilisi 5
Majosi 2
Godollo 0
Videoton 3
Szentlorinc SE 0
Siofok 1
MTK Budapest 7
Gyulai Termal 0
Mezokovesd-Zsory 2
Kecskemeti TE 3
Ujpest 2
Tiszafuredi 3
Putnok VSE 2
VSC Veszprem 0
Debrecen 2
Mori SE 1
Honved 4
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Kozarmisleny SE 2
Szolnoki MAV 0
ESMTK Budapest 3
Martfui LSE 5
Dombovari 4
Szajol 1
Paks 5
Hodmezovasarhely 1
DVTK 3
Dorogi FC 0
Szeged-Csanad GA 2
Vasarosnameny SE 0
Zalaegerszegi 13
Eger 0
Budafoki MTE 2
Vasas 4
Puskas Academy 1
Mezoors 1
Komaromi VSE 0
Pecsi MFC 0
Debreceni EAC 2
Fuzesabony 0
BVSC-Zuglo 4
PTE-PEAC 1
III. Keruleti TVE 3
Tatabanya 0
Soroksar 2
1/16-finals
Ajka 2
Tiszakecske 1
Kelen 0
Kazincbarcika 1
Ferencvaros 4
Bekescsaba 1912 0
Karcagi 2
Csakvari 3
Gyor 9
Pilisi 0
Majosi 0
Videoton 1
MTK Budapest 5
Mezokovesd-Zsory 1
Kecskemeti TE 2
Tiszafuredi 1
Debrecen 1
Honved 2
Kozarmisleny SE 0
ESMTK Budapest 1
Martfui LSE 1
Paks 4
DVTK 2
Szeged-Csanad GA 0
Zalaegerszegi 3
Budafoki MTE 1
Vasas 3
Mezoors 0
Debreceni EAC 1
BVSC-Zuglo 0
III. Keruleti TVE 0
Soroksar 1
1/8-finals
Ajka 0
Kazincbarcika 1
Ferencvaros 4
Csakvari 0
Gyor 2
Videoton 0
MTK Budapest 1
Kecskemeti TE 2
Honved 2
ESMTK Budapest 0
Paks 2
DVTK 6
Zalaegerszegi 2
Vasas 1
Debreceni EAC 0
Soroksar 1
Quarter-finals
Kazincbarcika 0
Ferencvaros 5
Gyor 3
Kecskemeti TE 1
Honved 1
DVTK 0
Zalaegerszegi 1
Soroksar 0
Semi-finals
Ferencvaros 3
Gyor 2
Honved 2
Zalaegerszegi 3
Final
Ferencvaros 1
Zalaegerszegi 0