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Sarbogard vs Kaposvar

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Kaposvar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sarbogard
15%
Draws
64%
Kaposvar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaposvar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Kaposvar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kaposvar a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Kaposvar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kaposvar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 10%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarbogard Kaposvar
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 4 22
Draws 1 3
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.06 2.29
Goals Conceded 2.29 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2023 Hungarian Cup
Sarbogard vs Kaposvar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarbogard 10 / 100
Kaposvar 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarbogard Kaposvar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaposvar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaposvar let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Sarbogard's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Sarbogard has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sarbogard VS Kaposvar
0.5 Goals Scored 3.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarbogard

(Home)
05 Sept
Sarbogard
2 : 1
Szekszardi
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
26 Aug
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Siofok
21 Aug
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
Sarbogard
16 Aug
Majosi
3 : 0
Sarbogard
Page 1 of 4

Kaposvar

(Away)
12 Sept
Hatvan FC
1 : 4
Kaposvar
05 Sept
Kaposvar
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
29 Aug
Dunaharaszti MTK
2 : 4
Kaposvar
26 Aug
Kaposvar
3 : 1
Paks II
21 Aug
Kaposvar
1 : 0
PTE-PEAC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Csepel 8
Toponar 0
Marcali 1
Szentlorinc SE 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Szegedi 0
Szolnoki MAV 4
Kisujszallasi 1
Kelen 5
Kadarkut 1
Majosi 2
Penzugyor SE 2
Ivancsa 0
Ujfeherto 1
Hidasnemeti 2
Jaszfenyszarui 1
Godollo 3
Baracsi 0
Nagyatadi 3
K.Ocsard SE 0
Dunafoldvar 8
Energia Gyongyos 1
Tiszaujvaros 4
Felsozsolca 1
Tiszafuredi 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Fuzfoi 3
Lajoskomarom 2
Celldomolki Vse 0
VSC Veszprem 2
Perbal 6
Tatai 2
Kajarpec 0
Komaromi VSE 8
Matraterenye 1
Putnok VSE 16
Berkenye 2
Senyo 11
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Budafoki MTE -
Bajai 2
Issimo 1
Pestszentimrei 2
FC Dabas 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Soroksar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Labatlani 5
Nadorvaros 0
Balatonfuredi 2
Budaorsi SC 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Siofok -
OMTK-ULE 5
Cegledi 0
Felsopakony 3
III. Keruleti TVE 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DVTK -
Csakvari -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haladas -
Lorinci 6
Bank 1
Csenger 0
Cigand SE 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Asvanyraro 1
Zsambek 3
Urkut 2
Zalaszentgroti 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Tarpa 4
Balmazujvarosi FC 0
Gyulahaza 0
Eger 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Nagyecsed 4
Hajduszoboszloi 1
Maklar 3
Karancslapujto 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Mosonmagyarovari TE -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Bony 1
Mezoors 6
Vep VSE 4
Kiraly SE 3
Bolyi 2
Szekszardi 1
Maroshegy 2
Nagykanizsa FC 7
Sarbogard 2
Dombovari 1
Kaposvar 1
Dunaujvaros 0
Pecsvarad 5
Murakeresztur 1
Bataszek 0
PTE-PEAC 2
Apostag 0
Makoi 5
Dunaharaszti MTK 6
Sarreti 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasas -
Kecskemeti LC 5
Szeol 0
Tiszasziget 0
Korosladany MSK 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Andrashida 4
Esztergom 0
Balatonalmadi 0
Tatabanya 3
Csesztreg 2
Haladas VSE 3
Teskand 1
Csornai 2
Pecsi MFC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
Balatonfuredi USC 4
Rabapatyi KSK 1
Mori SE 0
Dorogi FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Honved -
Mezomegyer 3
Femalk-Dunavarsany 1
Mezocsat 0
BKV Elore 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Papai Perutz 4
DG Tat 0
Rabaszentandras 0
Bicskei 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
Nimrod 1
Unione 5
Szepetnek 1
Erdi 2
Csepel UFC 2
Csor FC 1
Nagybajom 2
Siklos 1
Algyo SK 2
Fuzesgyarmati 1
Pilisi 2
Hodmezovasarhely 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Monostorpalyi 0
Debreceni EAC 2
Jaszberenyi 0
Hatvan FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Tiszafoldvar 1
Bekescsaba 1912 2
Monori 3
Karcagi 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kazincbarcika -
Kecel 1
Szarvasi 7
Harta SE 1
ESMTK Budapest 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Videoton -
Biri SE 1
Gesztely 3
Balassagyarmat SE 0
Hajdusamsoni 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
1/64-finals
Csepel 1
Szentlorinc SE 2
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Szolnoki MAV 1
Kelen 4
Majosi 2
Penzugyor SE 0
Hidasnemeti 0
Godollo 3
Nagyatadi 0
Dunafoldvar 7
Tiszaujvaros 2
Tiszafuredi 1
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Fuzfoi 1
VSC Veszprem 6
Perbal 2
Komaromi VSE 3
Putnok VSE 3
Senyo 1
TBD -
Budafoki MTE -
Bajai 4
FC Dabas 3
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Soroksar -
TBD -
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Labatlani 0
Budaorsi SC 11
TBD -
Siofok -
OMTK-ULE 0
III. Keruleti TVE 1
TBD -
DVTK -
Csakvari -
TBD -
TBD -
Haladas -
Lorinci 0
Cigand SE 4
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Zsambek 3
Urkut 0
TBD -
Gyor -
Tarpa 0
Eger 1
TBD -
Debrecen -
Nagyecsed 2
Maklar 1
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Mosonmagyarovari TE -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Mezoors 5
Vep VSE 0
Bolyi 1
Nagykanizsa FC 5
Sarbogard 0
Kaposvar 1
Pecsvarad 0
PTE-PEAC 3
Makoi 0
Dunaharaszti MTK 12
TBD -
Vasas -
Kecskemeti LC 0
Korosladany MSK 8
TBD -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Andrashida 0
Tatabanya 4
Haladas VSE 2
Csornai 1
Pecsi MFC -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
Balatonfuredi USC 0
Dorogi FC 6
TBD -
Honved -
Mezomegyer 1
BKV Elore 3
TBD -
Paks -
Papai Perutz 0
Bicskei 4
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
Unione 3
Erdi 1
Csepel UFC 5
Nagybajom 1
Algyo SK 0
Pilisi 1
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Debreceni EAC 4
Hatvan FC 0
TBD -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Bekescsaba 1912 3
Monori 1
TBD -
Kazincbarcika -
Szarvasi 1
ESMTK Budapest 5
TBD -
Videoton -
Gesztely 5
Hajdusamsoni 0
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
1/32-finals
Szentlorinc SE 1
BVSC-Zuglo 0
Kelen 1
Majosi 0
Godollo 1
Dunafoldvar 2
Tiszaujvaros 1
Nyiregyhaza 2
VSC Veszprem 4
Komaromi VSE 2
Putnok VSE 0
Budafoki MTE 1
Bajai 0
Szeged-Csanad GA 7
Soroksar 1
Kecskemeti TE 2
Budaorsi SC 1
Siofok 2
III. Keruleti TVE 2
DVTK 6
Csakvari 1
Haladas 3
Cigand SE 0
Zalaegerszegi 4
Zsambek 0
Gyor 2
Eger 1
Debrecen 2
Nagyecsed 0
Ferencvaros 8
Mosonmagyarovari TE 0
Puskas Academy 2
Mezoors 1
Nagykanizsa FC 0
Kaposvar 2
PTE-PEAC 0
Dunaharaszti MTK 0
Vasas 1
Korosladany MSK 0
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
Tatabanya 2
Haladas VSE 1
Pecsi MFC 1
Ujpest 3
Dorogi FC 2
Honved 4
BKV Elore 0
Paks 7
Bicskei 0
Tiszakecske 3
Ajka 1
Mezokovesd-Zsory 0
Unione 1
Csepel UFC 0
Pilisi 0
Kisvarda FC 5
Debreceni EAC 1
Kozarmisleny SE 2
Bekescsaba 1912 0
Kazincbarcika 2
ESMTK Budapest 1
Videoton 0
Gesztely 1
MTK Budapest 6
1/16-finals
Szentlorinc SE 3
Kelen 0
Dunafoldvar 0
Nyiregyhaza 1
VSC Veszprem 3
Budafoki MTE 2
Szeged-Csanad GA 0
Kecskemeti TE 1
Siofok 1
DVTK 3
Haladas 1
Zalaegerszegi 2
Gyor 0
Debrecen 1
Ferencvaros 4
Puskas Academy 3
Mezoors 2
Kaposvar 1
Vasas 3
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
Tatabanya 0
Ujpest 2
Honved 2
Paks 3
Tiszakecske 1
Ajka 0
Unione 0
Kisvarda FC 6
Kozarmisleny SE 4
Kazincbarcika 2
ESMTK Budapest 0
MTK Budapest 4
1/8-finals
Szentlorinc SE 1
Nyiregyhaza 5
VSC Veszprem 0
Kecskemeti TE 2
DVTK 4
Zalaegerszegi 2
Debrecen 1
Ferencvaros 2
Mezoors 1
Vasas 2
Ujpest 1
Paks 2
Tiszakecske 0
Kisvarda FC 3
Kozarmisleny SE 0
MTK Budapest 3
Quarter-finals
Nyiregyhaza 2
Kecskemeti TE 1
DVTK 0
Ferencvaros 2
Vasas 2
Paks 5
Kisvarda FC 3
MTK Budapest 2
Semi-finals
Nyiregyhaza 1
Ferencvaros 2
Paks 2
Kisvarda FC 1
Final
Ferencvaros 0
Paks 2