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Sarbogard vs Paks II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sarbogard and Paks II finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paks II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sarbogard
20%
Draws
40%
Paks II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sarbogard haven't matched Paks II's recent run of results.
  • Paks II are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 11%
Paks II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarbogard Paks II
Matches Played 20 34
Wins 4 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.15 2
Goals Conceded 2.4 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarbogard vs Paks II
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarbogard 22 / 100
Paks II 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarbogard Paks II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paks II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paks II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Sarbogard's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Away concern: Paks II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarbogard VS Paks II
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarbogard

(Home)
03 Oct
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Sarbogard
26 Sept
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Budaorsi SC
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Sarbogard
2 : 1
Szekszardi
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
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Paks II

(Away)
03 Oct
Paks II
8 : 1
Szekszardi
27 Sept
Siofok
3 : 1
Paks II
19 Sept
Paks II
1 : 2
Budafoki MTE
05 Sept
PTE-PEAC
1 : 1
Paks II
29 Aug
Paks II
2 : 4
MTK Budapest II
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