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Sarbogard vs Paks II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sarbogard host Paks II in the NB III - Southwest. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Sarbogard have averaged 1.15 scored and 2.4 conceded recently, against Paks II's 1.97 scored and 2.19 conceded. Head-to-head, Sarbogard have won 0 to Paks II's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 11, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.81) point toward Paks II. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sarbogard
30%
Draws
39%
Paks II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paks II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paks II lately — more wins on the board than Sarbogard.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Paks II taking it.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 11%
Paks II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarbogard Paks II
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.15 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.4 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarbogard vs Paks II
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarbogard 22 / 100
Paks II 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarbogard Paks II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paks II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paks II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Sarbogard found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (20 games).

Sarbogard went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarbogard VS Paks II
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarbogard

(Home)
03 Oct
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Sarbogard
26 Sept
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Budaorsi SC
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Sarbogard
2 : 1
Szekszardi
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
Page 1 of 4

Paks II

(Away)
10 Oct
Budaorsi SC
1 : 1
Paks II
03 Oct
Paks II
8 : 1
Szekszardi
27 Sept
Siofok
3 : 1
Paks II
19 Sept
Paks II
1 : 2
Budafoki MTE
05 Sept
PTE-PEAC
1 : 1
Paks II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 10 6 1 3 24:14 19
3 Ferencvaros II 10 5 3 2 23:14 18
4 Budafoki MTE 10 5 2 3 20:15 17
5 Dunaharaszti MTK 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
6 PTE-PEAC 10 4 4 2 16:13 16
7 MTK Budapest II 9 5 0 4 24:15 15
8 Ivancsa 10 5 0 5 21:21 15
9 Majosi 10 4 3 3 21:21 15
10 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
11 Erdi 10 3 3 4 22:24 12
12 Budaorsi SC 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
13 Paks II 11 1 4 6 20:24 7
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 10 0 0 10 5:42 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)