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Stadium Background

Sarbogard vs Szekszardi

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Sebestyen M.
13' Event
Szellak S.
77' Event
Husveth A.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest game between Sarbogard and Szekszardi finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarbogard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sarbogard
15%
Draws
0%
Szekszardi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarbogard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Szekszardi come out ahead of Sarbogard on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sarbogard's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 15%
Szekszardi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarbogard Szekszardi
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 1 3
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.17 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.39 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Sarbogard vs Szekszardi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarbogard Compare

Top Goalscorer Szellak S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Husveth A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Szekszardi Compare

Top Goalscorer Sebestyen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarbogard 84 / 100
Szekszardi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarbogard Szekszardi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarbogard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Szekszardi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Szekszardi registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sarbogard found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (18 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sarbogard VS Szekszardi
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarbogard

(Home)
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Sarbogard
2 : 1
Szekszardi
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
26 Aug
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Siofok
21 Aug
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
Sarbogard
Page 1 of 4

Szekszardi

(Away)
19 Sept
Budaorsi SC
5 : 1
Szekszardi
05 Sept
Sarbogard
2 : 1
Szekszardi
29 Aug
Szekszardi
1 : 3
Siofok
26 Aug
Budafoki MTE
4 : 0
Szekszardi
15 Aug
Szekszardi
0 : 1
PTE-PEAC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 8 8 0 0 27:2 24
2 Budafoki MTE 7 5 1 1 14:6 16
3 Kaposvar 7 5 0 2 20:9 15
4 PTE-PEAC 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
5 Majosi 8 4 1 3 17:17 13
6 MTK Budapest II 7 4 0 3 21:12 12
7 Ferencvaros II 7 3 2 2 15:11 11
8 Siofok 7 3 2 2 12:8 11
9 Budaorsi SC 8 3 1 4 15:25 10
10 Ivancsa 7 3 0 4 13:18 9
11 Erdi 7 2 3 2 17:16 9
12 Dunaharaszti MTK 8 2 2 4 11:16 8
13 Sarbogard 8 1 1 6 7:19 4
14 Paks II 8 0 3 5 10:19 3
15 Szekszardi 8 0 0 8 3:30 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)