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Stadium Background

Sardar Bukan vs Shahrdari Mahshahr

Iran Iran

Hazfi Cup 2019/2020
Tue, Oct 1, 2019
1 - 2
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Tori F.
88' Event
Cheraghi A. M.
115' Event
Cheraghi A. M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Shahrdari Mahshahr advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sardar Bukan
39%
Draws
31%
Shahrdari Mahshahr
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Shahrdari Mahshahr carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Shahrdari Mahshahr arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Shahrdari Mahshahr, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sardar Bukan Clean Sheet 68%
Shahrdari Mahshahr Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sardar Bukan Shahrdari Mahshahr
Matches Played 2 30
Wins 0 7
Draws 0 10
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 1 0.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2019 Hazfi Cup
Sardar Bukan vs Shahrdari Mahshahr
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sardar Bukan Compare

Top Goalscorer Tori F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Shahrdari Mahshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheraghi A. M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sardar Bukan 41 / 100
Shahrdari Mahshahr 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sardar Bukan Shahrdari Mahshahr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sardar Bukan scored in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Shahrdari Mahshahr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Shahrdari Mahshahr lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sardar Bukan VS Shahrdari Mahshahr
1 Goals Scored 0.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 25%
100% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sardar Bukan

(Home)
01 Oct
Sardar Bukan
1 : 2
Shahrdari Mahshahr
13 Sept
Saipa
2 : 1
Sardar Bukan

Shahrdari Mahshahr

(Away)
12 Mar
Tractor
3 : 0
Shahrdari Mahshahr
23 Dec
Shahrdari Mahshahr
0 : 2
Persepolis
17 Oct
Shahrdari Mahshahr
2 : 1
Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr
01 Oct
Sardar Bukan
1 : 2
Shahrdari Mahshahr
30 Apr
Shahrdari Mahshahr
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Niroye Zamini0
Navad Urmia2
PAS Hamedan1
Tractor2
Pars Janoobi Jam1
Zob Ahan2
Mes Kerman2
Baderan Tehran1
Mazandaran0
Shahr Khodrou1
Gol Gohar0
Naft Masjed-Soleyman1
Khoosheh Talai3
Shahin Bushehr4
Saipa2
Damash Gilan1
Sardar Bukan1
Shahrdari Mahshahr2
Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr2
Mes Nov. Kerman1
Machine Sazi Tabriz0
Persepolis1
Qashqai Shiraz1
Sanat Naft2
Gol Reyhan Alborz1
Esteghlal TEH3
Fajr Sepasi3
Foolad2
Kheybar Khorramabad0
Sepahan3
Paykan4
Shohadaye Razakan0
1/8-finals
Navad Urmia1
Tractor2
Zob Ahan2
Mes Kerman4
Shahr Khodrou0
Naft Masjed-Soleyman1
Shahin Bushehr2
Saipa0
Shahrdari Mahshahr2
Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr1
Persepolis1
Sanat Naft0
Esteghlal TEH3
Fajr Sepasi0
Sepahan2
Paykan1
Quarter-finals
Tractor4
Mes Kerman1
Naft Masjed-Soleyman3
Shahin Bushehr2
Shahrdari Mahshahr0
Persepolis2
Esteghlal TEH2
Sepahan0
Semi-finals
Tractor1
Naft Masjed-Soleyman0
Persepolis2
Esteghlal TEH3
Final
Tractor3
Esteghlal TEH2