Sport Picks

Armenia

First League 2025/2026

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sardarapat host Shirak Gyumri 2 in the First League 2025/2026. Sardarapat go into this one as the clear favorite. Sardarapat have averaged 2.5 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Shirak Gyumri 2's 1.13 scored and 3.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Sardarapat have won 2 to Shirak Gyumri 2's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 2, 2026, ending 5:0. The numbers (2.94 xG vs 0.88) point toward Sardarapat. Sardarapat in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Sardarapat

Draws

Shirak Gyumri 2

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sardarapat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sardarapat has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shirak Gyumri 2.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sardarapat.
League standings and seasonal metrics in First League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Sardarapat Clean Sheet 20%

Shirak Gyumri 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sardarapat	Shirak Gyumri 2
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	23	4
Draws	6	6
Losses	4	20
Goals Scored	2.5	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.63	3.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 First League

Sardarapat vs Shirak Gyumri 2

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 0 - 1

5:0

Aug 19, 2025 First League

Shirak Gyumri 2 vs Sardarapat

Possession: 54% - 40% Cards: 1 - 3

1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sardarapat 85 / 100

Shirak Gyumri 2 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sardarapat Shirak Gyumri 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sardarapat scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Shirak Gyumri 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Sardarapat went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Shirak Gyumri 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sardarapat VS Shirak Gyumri 2

2.5 Goals Scored 1.13

0.63 Goals Conceded 3.38

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sardarapat	30	24	4	2	81:18	76
2	BKMA 2	30	22	5	3	77:31	71
3	Hayq	30	22	2	6	59:24	68
4	Syunik	30	22	1	7	83:26	67
5	Andranik	30	21	3	6	76:30	66
6	Pyunik Yerevan 2	30	12	8	10	43:43	44
7	Ararat Yerevan 2	30	12	2	16	43:58	38
8	Araks Ararat	30	11	4	15	38:51	37
9	Urartu 2	30	9	9	12	46:54	36
10	Noah 2	30	8	7	15	39:58	31
11	Bentonit	30	7	8	15	33:49	29
12	Mika	30	7	7	16	32:60	28
13	Ararat-Armenia 2	30	6	6	18	46:62	24
14	Van 2	30	6	6	18	33:58	24
15	Lernayin Artsakh	30	7	2	21	22:74	23
16	Shirak Gyumri 2	30	4	6	20	34:89	18