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Sardarapat vs Van 2

Armenia Armenia

First League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The First League 2025/2026 game between Sardarapat and Van 2 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sardarapat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sardarapat
15%
Draws
51%
Van 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Van 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sardarapat carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Van 2's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sardarapat Clean Sheet 20%
Van 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sardarapat Van 2
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2025 First League
Sardarapat vs Van 2
2:0
Aug 16, 2025 First League
Van 2 vs Sardarapat
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sardarapat 24 / 100
Van 2 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sardarapat Van 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Van 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sardarapat scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Van 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Van 2 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sardarapat VS Van 2
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sardarapat

(Home)
13 Sept
Sardarapat
1 : 1
Alashkert
09 Sept
Sardarapat
2 : 4
Pyunik Yerevan
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
31 Aug
Sardarapat
3 : 1
Syunik
27 Aug
Sardarapat
1 : 2
Syunik
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Van 2

(Away)
26 May
Van 2
0 : 1
Pyunik Yerevan 2
20 May
Lernayin Artsakh
0 : 2
Van 2
15 May
Van 2
0 : 2
BKMA 2
05 May
Noah 2
1 : 0
Van 2
25 Apr
Van 2
3 : 0
Shirak Gyumri 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sardarapat 30 24 4 2 81:18 76
2 BKMA 2 30 22 5 3 77:31 71
3 Hayq 30 22 2 6 59:24 68
4 Syunik 30 22 1 7 83:26 67
5 Andranik 30 21 3 6 76:30 66
6 Pyunik Yerevan 2 30 12 8 10 43:43 44
7 Ararat Yerevan 2 30 12 2 16 43:58 38
8 Araks Ararat 30 11 4 15 38:51 37
9 Urartu 2 30 9 9 12 46:54 36
10 Noah 2 30 8 7 15 39:58 31
11 Bentonit 30 7 8 15 33:49 29
12 Mika 30 7 7 16 32:60 28
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 30 6 6 18 46:62 24
14 Van 2 30 6 6 18 33:58 24
15 Lernayin Artsakh 30 7 2 21 22:74 23
16 Shirak Gyumri 2 30 4 6 20 34:89 18
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