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Sardor Tursunzoda vs Khosilot Parkhar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
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AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Sardor Tursunzoda and Khosilot Parkhar finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sardor Tursunzoda
30%
Draws
47%
Khosilot Parkhar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Khosilot Parkhar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Khosilot Parkhar come out ahead of Sardor Tursunzoda on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sardor Tursunzoda Clean Sheet 10%
Khosilot Parkhar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sardor Tursunzoda Khosilot Parkhar
Matches Played 18 29
Wins 3 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Sardor Tursunzoda vs Khosilot Parkhar
3:3
Apr 5, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Sardor Tursunzoda
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sardor Tursunzoda 30 / 100
Khosilot Parkhar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sardor Tursunzoda Khosilot Parkhar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khosilot Parkhar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Sardor Tursunzoda's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Khosilot Parkhar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Sardor Tursunzoda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sardor Tursunzoda VS Khosilot Parkhar
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sardor Tursunzoda

(Home)
16 Sept
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 0
Sardor Tursunzoda
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
14 Aug
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
31 Jul
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
2 : 4
Sardor Tursunzoda
28 Jun
Sardor Tursunzoda
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Page 1 of 4

Khosilot Parkhar

(Away)
15 Sept
Khosilot Parkhar
2 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0
Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
14 Aug
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
02 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
5 : 2
Istaravshan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Regar-TadAZ 18 12 4 2 25:9 40
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 17 8 3 6 19:20 27
5 Khujand 17 7 6 4 16:11 27
6 Barkchi Hisor 17 7 3 7 24:25 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 18 4 3 11 15:33 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 18 0 6 12 15:36 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)