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Sardor Tursunzoda vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
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AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Sardor Tursunzoda and Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sardor Tursunzoda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Sardor Tursunzoda
22%
Draws
60%
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov come out ahead of Sardor Tursunzoda on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov taking it.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sardor Tursunzoda Clean Sheet 14%
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sardor Tursunzoda Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 2 3
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Sardor Tursunzoda vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sardor Tursunzoda 19 / 100
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sardor Tursunzoda Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Sardor Tursunzoda scored in 64% of their last 14 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sardor Tursunzoda stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sardor Tursunzoda VS Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Istiqlol Dushanbe1174014:325
2Khosilot Parkhar1273223:1124
3Regar-TadAZ1173115:724
4CSKA Pomir Dushanbe1161414:1219
5Ravshan Kulob1252516:1317
6Barkchi Hisor1251615:1916
7Khujand1244411:1016
8Eskhata1242614:2314
9Vakhsh1235415:1614
10Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov1233610:1712
11Sardor Tursunzoda1213813:216
12Istaravshan110569:175