Sport Picks
Sarinena vs Atletico Calatayud
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 17 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
Sarinena in this Tercera Division - Group 17 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarinena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarinena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atletico Calatayud haven't matched Sarinena's recent run of results.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Sarinena taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sarinena here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sarinena Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Calatayud Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarinena | Atletico Calatayud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sarinena vs Atletico Calatayud
3:0
Nov 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs Sarinena
0:1
Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sarinena vs Atletico Calatayud
2:1
Oct 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs Sarinena
0:2
Apr 10, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sarinena vs Atletico Calatayud
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sarinena 85 / 100
Atletico Calatayud 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sarinena Atletico Calatayud
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sarinena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sarinena found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Atletico Calatayud conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Sarinena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sarinena VS Atletico Calatayud
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarinena
(Home) 02 Aug
Sarinena
2 : 2 UD Barbastro
13 Jun
Tamarite
3 : 0 Sarinena
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0 Valdefierro
30 May
CD Carinena
2 : 1 Sarinena
23 May
Sarinena
0 : 0 Fraga
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02 Aug
Sarinena
2 : 2 UD Barbastro
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0 Valdefierro
23 May
Sarinena
0 : 0 Fraga
09 May
Sarinena
3 : 0 San Juan Zaragoza
02 May
Sarinena
2 : 1 Tamarite
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Atletico Calatayud
(Away) 04 Oct
Atletico Calatayud
1 : 4 Atletic Sant Just FC
27 Sept
Atletic Sant Just FC
3 : 0 Atletico Calatayud
11 May
Atletico Calatayud
0 : 0 Teruel
04 May
SD Ejea
3 : 0 Atletico Calatayud
01 May
Atletico Calatayud
1 : 2 Brea
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27 Sept
Atletic Sant Just FC
3 : 0 Atletico Calatayud
04 May
SD Ejea
3 : 0 Atletico Calatayud
27 Apr
CD Cuarte
1 : 0 Atletico Calatayud
17 Apr
UD Barbastro
3 : 1 Atletico Calatayud
06 Apr
Andorra CF
3 : 2 Atletico Calatayud
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarinena | 38 | 24 | 12 | 2 | 71:21 | 84 |
| 2 | Andorra CF | 38 | 24 | 12 | 2 | 73:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Ebro | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 66:40 | 73 |
| 4 | Utebo FC | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 56:26 | 72 |
| 5 | Atletico Monzon | 38 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 71:51 | 70 |
| 6 | SD Ejea | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 59:40 | 62 |
| 7 | Borja | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 46:39 | 57 |
| 8 | Tarazona | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45:45 | 53 |
| 9 | CD Cuarte | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 51:47 | 53 |
| 10 | Villanueva CF | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:48 | 52 |
| 11 | Oliver | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:49 | 48 |
| 12 | Sabinanigo | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 53:53 | 47 |
| 13 | Almudevar | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 46:48 | 45 |
| 14 | Atletico Escalerillas | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 36:53 | 45 |
| 15 | Atletico Calatayud | 38 | 14 | 2 | 22 | 37:52 | 44 |
| 16 | UD Barbastro | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 45:59 | 43 |
| 17 | La Almunia | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 39:58 | 40 |
| 18 | Valdefierro | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 19 | Robres | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 41:63 | 30 |
| 20 | Binefar | 38 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 20:116 | 12 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
