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Sariyer vs F. Karagumruk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Yusuf Ziya Onis, Istanbul
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sariyer host F. Karagumruk in the 1. Lig. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sariyer have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against F. Karagumruk's 1.14 scored and 1.29 conceded. Head-to-head, Sariyer have won 2 to F. Karagumruk's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 4, 2024, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.38, favoring Sariyer. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sariyer
35%
Draws
26%
F. Karagumruk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sariyer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sariyer come out ahead of F. Karagumruk on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sariyer Clean Sheet 68%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sariyer F. Karagumruk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2024 Turkish Cup
F. Karagumruk vs Sariyer
3:0
Dec 1, 2021 Turkish Cup
F. Karagumruk vs Sariyer
2:0
Apr 24, 2005 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Sariyer
1:0
Nov 20, 2004 1. Lig
Sariyer vs F. Karagumruk
2:1
Apr 7, 1984 Super Lig
Sariyer vs F. Karagumruk
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sariyer 41 / 100
F. Karagumruk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sariyer F. Karagumruk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sariyer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sariyer found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

F. Karagumruk has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sariyer stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sariyer VS F. Karagumruk
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sariyer

(Home)
17 Oct
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Sariyer
13 Oct
Sariyer
1 : 4
Bodrumspor
09 Oct
Umraniyespor
1 : 1
Sariyer
19 Sept
Sariyer
2 : 1
Boluspor
11 Sept
Sariyer
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
Page 1 of 6

F. Karagumruk

(Away)
19 Oct
F. Karagumruk
1 : 2
Keciorengucu
15 Oct
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
F. Karagumruk
11 Oct
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Muglaspor
03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1
F. Karagumruk
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 11 8 2 1 24:7 26
2 Bursaspor 11 8 1 2 22:9 25
3 Igdir FK 11 7 2 2 15:8 23
4 Keciorengucu 11 5 5 1 21:11 20
5 Batman Petrolspor 11 6 2 3 22:19 20
6 Mardin 1969 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Antalyaspor 11 6 0 5 17:17 18
8 Sariyer 11 4 4 3 14:15 16
9 Muglaspor 11 3 6 2 13:14 15
10 Bandirmaspor 11 3 5 3 16:8 14
11 Bodrumspor 11 3 5 3 13:10 14
12 Sivasspor 11 2 7 2 15:14 13
13 F. Karagumruk 11 3 4 4 14:15 13
14 Erokspor 11 2 6 3 10:13 12
15 Umraniyespor 10 2 4 4 9:10 10
16 Manisa FK 11 2 4 5 18:20 10
17 Pendikspor 11 2 4 5 12:21 10
18 Vanspor FK 11 2 3 6 10:22 7
19 Istanbulspor AS 11 1 2 8 9:26 5
20 Boluspor 10 0 1 9 3:22 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)