Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sariyer vs Muglaspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Yusuf Ziya Onis, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Fidan Y.
42'
Ceylan B.
44' Event
Eze E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Sariyer in this 1. Lig matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sariyer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sariyer
30%
Draws
31%
Muglaspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sariyer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Sariyer have won more games recently than Muglaspor.
  • Sariyer are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Sariyer Clean Sheet 68%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sariyer Muglaspor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.37 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 1. Lig
Sariyer vs Muglaspor
2:0
Oct 9, 2024 Turkish Cup
Muglaspor vs Sariyer
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sariyer Compare

Top Goalscorer Karayel C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Muglaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sariyer 59 / 100
Muglaspor 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sariyer Muglaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sariyer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Sariyer scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Sariyer went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Muglaspor has conceded goals in 38% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sariyer VS Muglaspor
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sariyer

(Home)
01 Sept
Sariyer
2 : 0
Pendikspor
28 Aug
Antalyaspor
1 : 2
Sariyer
23 Aug
Sariyer
1 : 2
Batman Petrolspor
14 Aug
Erokspor
1 : 1
Sariyer
09 Aug
Sariyer
2 : 0
Muglaspor
Page 1 of 6

Muglaspor

(Away)
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
28 Aug
Muglaspor
2 : 0
Boluspor
22 Aug
Bodrumspor
0 : 0
Muglaspor
16 Aug
Muglaspor
0 : 0
Bandirmaspor
09 Aug
Sariyer
2 : 0
Muglaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sariyer 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
2 Batman Petrolspor 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
3 Kayserispor 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
4 Bursaspor 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
5 Mardin 1969 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
6 Keciorengucu 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
7 Manisa FK 4 2 2 0 8:4 8
8 Muglaspor 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
9 F. Karagumruk 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
10 Bandirmaspor 5 1 3 1 5:3 6
11 Igdir FK 4 2 0 2 3:2 6
12 Antalyaspor 5 2 0 3 8:10 6
13 Pendikspor 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
14 Vanspor FK 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
15 Erokspor 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
16 Umraniyespor 5 0 3 2 4:6 3
17 Bodrumspor 4 0 3 1 2:4 3
18 Sivasspor 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
19 Istanbulspor AS 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
20 Boluspor 5 0 0 5 1:11 0
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)