Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sariyer vs Sivasspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Yusuf Ziya Onis, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Charisis C.
52'
Manaj R.
55'
Yesilyurt H. E.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Sariyer and Sivasspor finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sariyer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sariyer
6%
Draws
4%
Sivasspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sariyer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sariyer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sariyer a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sariyer Clean Sheet 68%
Sivasspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sariyer Sivasspor
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 1. Lig
Sariyer vs Sivasspor
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 1. Lig
Sivasspor vs Sariyer
1:0
May 15, 2005 1. Lig
Sariyer vs Sivasspor
1:1
Dec 11, 2004 1. Lig
Sivasspor vs Sariyer
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sariyer Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sivasspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sariyer 95 / 100
Sivasspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sariyer Sivasspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sivasspor conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Sariyer's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Sariyer went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sariyer VS Sivasspor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sariyer

(Home)
02 May
Bodrumspor
0 : 1
Sariyer
26 Apr
Sariyer
1 : 0
Erokspor
19 Apr
Istanbulspor AS
3 : 1
Sariyer
11 Apr
Sariyer
4 : 0
Hatayspor
07 Apr
Bandirmaspor
0 : 0
Sariyer
Page 1 of 6

Sivasspor

(Away)
02 May
Bandirmaspor
1 : 0
Sivasspor
26 Apr
Sivasspor
2 : 1
Igdir FK
19 Apr
Corum FK
3 : 1
Sivasspor
13 Apr
Sivasspor
1 : 3
Istanbulspor AS
09 Apr
Boluspor
1 : 2
Sivasspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)