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Sariyer vs Umraniyespor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Yusuf Ziya Onis
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Benny
Assist: Babacan A.
41' Event
Celik B.
Assist: Babacan A.
46'
Sub
Yesilyurt H. E. In: Kara A.
Out: Yesilyurt H. E.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Sariyer and Umraniyespor finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umraniyespor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sariyer
6%
Draws
4%
Umraniyespor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sariyer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Umraniyespor haven't matched Sariyer's recent run of results.
  • Sariyer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Umraniyespor have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Sariyer Clean Sheet 68%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sariyer Umraniyespor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 1. Lig
Sariyer vs Umraniyespor
1:2
Oct 17, 2025 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Sariyer
1:3
Mar 11, 2016 2. Lig White Group
Umraniyespor vs Sariyer
1:0
Oct 30, 2015 2. Lig White Group
Sariyer vs Umraniyespor
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sariyer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Umraniyespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Benny
1 Goals
Assists Leader Celik B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sariyer 95 / 100
Umraniyespor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sariyer Umraniyespor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sariyer's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Umraniyespor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sariyer stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sariyer VS Umraniyespor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54