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Sarmiento de La Banda vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Stadio Ciudad de La Banda, La Banda
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Bertacin J.
19'
Sanchez Arriola M.
33' Event
Roige E.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Sarmiento de La Banda and Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sarmiento de La Banda
15%
Draws
59%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo come out ahead of Sarmiento de La Banda on wins alone.
  • Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Sarmiento de La Banda Clean Sheet 18%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarmiento de La Banda Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.89 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0:2
Aug 17, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarmiento de La Banda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertacin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roige E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento de La Banda 10 / 100
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarmiento de La Banda Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sarmiento de La Banda scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Sarmiento de La Banda stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarmiento de La Banda VS Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarmiento de La Banda

(Home)
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4
9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
23 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
3 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
Page 1 of 6

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

(Away)
04 Oct
Alvarado
2 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2
Alvarado
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0
San Martin Formosa
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 8 5 2 1 14:5 17
2 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 8 4 3 1 6:2 15
3 Sol de America 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 8 4 1 3 6:3 13
5 Douglas Haig 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
6 9 de Julio Rafaela 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
7 Bartolome Mitre 8 1 2 5 3:10 5
8 Sarmiento de La Banda 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
9 Sportivo Belgrano 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alvarado 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Cipolletti 8 4 3 1 10:7 15
3 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 8 3 4 1 7:4 13
4 Biblioteca Atenas 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
5 Kimberley 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
6 Argentino MM 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
7 Villa Mitre 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
8 Huracan Las Heras 8 2 1 5 3:8 7
9 Juventud Antoniana 8 0 2 6 1:12 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)