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Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Stadio Ciudad de La Banda, La Banda
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Sub
Contreras P. In: Sagristani M.
Out: Contreras P.
40' Event
Gonzalez N.
42'
Diaz Cantoni M.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Sarmiento de La Banda and Sportivo Belgrano finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarmiento de La Banda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sarmiento de La Banda
15%
Draws
42%
Sportivo Belgrano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarmiento de La Banda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sportivo Belgrano come out ahead of Sarmiento de La Banda on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Sarmiento de La Banda Clean Sheet 20%
Sportivo Belgrano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarmiento de La Banda Sportivo Belgrano
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.86 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano
3:0
Sep 7, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Belgrano vs Sarmiento de La Banda
4:1
Aug 31, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarmiento de La Banda Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garzon I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sportivo Belgrano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento de La Banda 32 / 100
Sportivo Belgrano 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarmiento de La Banda Sportivo Belgrano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarmiento de La Banda's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Difficult form: Sportivo Belgrano registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sportivo Belgrano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarmiento de La Banda VS Sportivo Belgrano
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarmiento de La Banda

(Home)
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4
9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
23 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
3 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
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Sportivo Belgrano

(Away)
13 Sept
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 4
Douglas Haig
06 Sept
Sol de America
2 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0
Bartolome Mitre
23 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
3 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
17 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 8 5 2 1 14:5 17
2 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 8 4 3 1 6:2 15
3 Sol de America 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 8 4 1 3 6:3 13
5 Douglas Haig 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
6 9 de Julio Rafaela 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
7 Bartolome Mitre 8 1 2 5 3:10 5
8 Sarmiento de La Banda 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
9 Sportivo Belgrano 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alvarado 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Cipolletti 8 4 3 1 10:7 15
3 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 8 3 4 1 7:4 13
4 Biblioteca Atenas 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
5 Kimberley 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
6 Argentino MM 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
7 Villa Mitre 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
8 Huracan Las Heras 8 2 1 5 3:8 7
9 Juventud Antoniana 8 0 2 6 1:12 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)