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Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Stadio Ciudad de La Banda, La Banda
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Sarmiento de La Banda have averaged 0.86 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Sportivo Belgrano's 0.89 scored and 0.89 conceded. Head-to-head, Sarmiento de La Banda have won 1 to Sportivo Belgrano's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 0.94, favoring Sportivo Belgrano. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sarmiento de La Banda
15%
Draws
42%
Sportivo Belgrano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarmiento de La Banda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sportivo Belgrano lately — more wins on the board than Sarmiento de La Banda.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Sportivo Belgrano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sarmiento de La Banda, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Sarmiento de La Banda Clean Sheet 20%
Sportivo Belgrano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarmiento de La Banda Sportivo Belgrano
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.86 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano
3:0
Sep 7, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Belgrano vs Sarmiento de La Banda
4:1
Aug 31, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento de La Banda 32 / 100
Sportivo Belgrano 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarmiento de La Banda Sportivo Belgrano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarmiento de La Banda found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Sportivo Belgrano lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Sportivo Belgrano has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sarmiento de La Banda VS Sportivo Belgrano
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarmiento de La Banda

(Home)
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4
9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
23 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
3 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
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Sportivo Belgrano

(Away)
13 Sept
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 4
Douglas Haig
06 Sept
Sol de America
2 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0
Bartolome Mitre
23 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
3 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
17 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bartolome Mitre -
Boca Unidos -
Gimnasia Chivilcoy -
Defensores de Vilelas -
Sarmiento de La Banda -
Sportivo Belgrano -
TBD -
TBD -
Huracan Las Heras 0
Juventud Antoniana 3
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo -
Sportivo Las Parejas -
Argentino MM 2
San Martin Mendoza 0
Douglas Haig -
El Linqueno -
Kimberley -
Deportivo Rincon -
Sol de America -
Juventud U.U. -
Villa Mitre -
Costa Brava -
Biblioteca Atenas -
Fundacion Amigos -
9 de Julio Rafaela -
Gimnasia E.R. -
1/8-finals
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
Final
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