Sport Picks

Argentina

Reserve League

Sarmiento Junin 2

2 - 0

Gimnasia L.P. 2

Our Tip

Match Events

49'

Marquez B.

64'

Caviglia B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Sarmiento Junin 2 and Gimnasia L.P. 2 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarmiento Junin 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Sarmiento Junin 2

20%

Draws

38%

Gimnasia L.P. 2

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sarmiento Junin 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Gimnasia L.P. 2 come out ahead of Sarmiento Junin 2 on wins alone.
Win probability leans Sarmiento Junin 2's way, sitting at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

Sarmiento Junin 2 Clean Sheet 17%

Gimnasia L.P. 2 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sarmiento Junin 2	Gimnasia L.P. 2
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	13
Draws	7	7
Losses	15	9
Goals Scored	1	0.75
Goals Conceded	2	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Reserve League

Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Gimnasia L.P. 2

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Sep 23, 2025 Reserve League

Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Gimnasia L.P. 2

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Apr 24, 2025 Reserve League

Gimnasia L.P. 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 2 - 0

4:2

May 25, 2023 Reserve League

Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Gimnasia L.P. 2

Possession: 52% - 54% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Aug 26, 2022 Reserve League

Gimnasia L.P. 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarmiento Junin 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Caviglia B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Gimnasia L.P. 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento Junin 2 41 / 100

Gimnasia L.P. 2 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sarmiento Junin 2 Gimnasia L.P. 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sarmiento Junin 2 found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Gimnasia L.P. 2 has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Sarmiento Junin 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sarmiento Junin 2 VS Gimnasia L.P. 2

1 Goals Scored 0.75

2 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Velez Sarsfield 2	18	14	2	2	40:11	44
2	River Plate 2	18	9	4	5	24:17	31
3	Racing Club 2	18	8	6	4	27:23	30
4	Atl. Tucuman 2	18	9	3	6	26:25	30
5	Union de Santa Fe 2	18	7	8	3	23:19	29
6	Argentinos Jrs 2	18	7	7	4	24:18	28
7	Talleres Cordoba 2	18	7	5	6	27:21	26
8	Rosario Central 2	18	7	5	6	25:22	26
9	Instituto 2	18	5	9	4	20:21	24
10	San Lorenzo 2	18	6	6	6	22:24	24
11	Gimnasia L.P. 2	18	6	5	7	19:17	23
12	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	16:19	23
13	Banfield 2	18	6	5	7	14:18	23
14	Aldosivi 2	18	5	3	10	17:28	18
15	Barracas Central 2	18	4	5	9	11:24	17
16	Sarmiento Junin 2	18	4	4	10	16:26	16
17	Tigre 2	18	4	4	10	15:25	16
18	Godoy Cruz 2	18	4	3	11	20:30	15

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Boca Juniors 2	18	11	3	4	33:11	36
2	Independiente 2	18	11	3	4	36:16	36
3	Lanus 2	18	11	2	5	39:24	35
4	Newells Old Boys 2	18	10	4	4	26:16	34
5	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	20:12	33
6	Defensa y Justicia 2	18	9	5	4	38:24	32
7	Estudiantes L.P. 2	18	8	4	6	25:16	28
8	CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2	18	8	3	7	27:29	27
9	Huracan 2	18	7	5	6	23:17	26
10	Platense 2	18	7	5	6	17:20	26
11	Deportivo Riestra 2	18	7	4	7	25:18	25
12	Ind. Rivadavia 2	18	7	3	8	23:23	24
13	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	20:23	22
14	Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2	18	5	4	9	21:33	19
15	Colon Santa Fe 2	18	5	3	10	15:23	18
16	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	21:36	12
17	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	9:32	11
18	San Martin S.J. 2	18	2	2	14	16:59	8