Sport Picks

Argentina

Reserve League

Sarmiento Junin 2

1 - 2

San Lorenzo 2

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Salas E.

53'

Marquez B.

80'

Salas E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Sarmiento Junin 2 and San Lorenzo 2 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Lorenzo 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Sarmiento Junin 2

40%

Draws

29%

San Lorenzo 2

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

San Lorenzo 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
San Lorenzo 2 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Sarmiento Junin 2 Clean Sheet 12%

San Lorenzo 2 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sarmiento Junin 2	San Lorenzo 2
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	12
Draws	7	9
Losses	15	8
Goals Scored	1	1.5
Goals Conceded	2	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Reserve League

Sarmiento Junin 2 vs San Lorenzo 2

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Oct 28, 2025 Reserve League

San Lorenzo 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

5:2

May 29, 2025 Reserve League

Sarmiento Junin 2 vs San Lorenzo 2

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

3:2

Oct 19, 2023 Reserve League

San Lorenzo 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 3 - 4

6:0

Feb 17, 2023 Reserve League

San Lorenzo 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarmiento Junin 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

San Lorenzo 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Salas E.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento Junin 2 30 / 100

San Lorenzo 2 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sarmiento Junin 2 San Lorenzo 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

San Lorenzo 2 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Sarmiento Junin 2 found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Sarmiento Junin 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sarmiento Junin 2 VS San Lorenzo 2

1 Goals Scored 1.5

2 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Velez Sarsfield 2	18	14	2	2	40:11	44
2	River Plate 2	18	9	4	5	24:17	31
3	Racing Club 2	18	8	6	4	27:23	30
4	Atl. Tucuman 2	18	9	3	6	26:25	30
5	Union de Santa Fe 2	18	7	8	3	23:19	29
6	Argentinos Jrs 2	18	7	7	4	24:18	28
7	Talleres Cordoba 2	18	7	5	6	27:21	26
8	Rosario Central 2	18	7	5	6	25:22	26
9	Instituto 2	18	5	9	4	20:21	24
10	San Lorenzo 2	18	6	6	6	22:24	24
11	Gimnasia L.P. 2	18	6	5	7	19:17	23
12	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	16:19	23
13	Banfield 2	18	6	5	7	14:18	23
14	Aldosivi 2	18	5	3	10	17:28	18
15	Barracas Central 2	18	4	5	9	11:24	17
16	Sarmiento Junin 2	18	4	4	10	16:26	16
17	Tigre 2	18	4	4	10	15:25	16
18	Godoy Cruz 2	18	4	3	11	20:30	15

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Boca Juniors 2	18	11	3	4	33:11	36
2	Independiente 2	18	11	3	4	36:16	36
3	Lanus 2	18	11	2	5	39:24	35
4	Newells Old Boys 2	18	10	4	4	26:16	34
5	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	20:12	33
6	Defensa y Justicia 2	18	9	5	4	38:24	32
7	Estudiantes L.P. 2	18	8	4	6	25:16	28
8	CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2	18	8	3	7	27:29	27
9	Huracan 2	18	7	5	6	23:17	26
10	Platense 2	18	7	5	6	17:20	26
11	Deportivo Riestra 2	18	7	4	7	25:18	25
12	Ind. Rivadavia 2	18	7	3	8	23:23	24
13	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	20:23	22
14	Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2	18	5	4	9	21:33	19
15	Colon Santa Fe 2	18	5	3	10	15:23	18
16	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	21:36	12
17	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	9:32	11
18	San Martin S.J. 2	18	2	2	14	16:59	8