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Sarmiento Junin vs Aldosivi Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Eva Peron, Junin
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Churin D.
45' Event
Zabala C.
Assist: Gomez J.
46'
Sub
Roman F. In: Guzman N.
Out: Roman F.

AI Match Summary

Sarmiento Junin in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarmiento Junin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sarmiento Junin
15%
Draws
39%
Aldosivi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarmiento Junin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sarmiento Junin lately — more wins on the board than Aldosivi.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sarmiento Junin taking it.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sarmiento Junin here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sarmiento Junin Clean Sheet 68%
Aldosivi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarmiento Junin Aldosivi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 3 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.1 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Aldosivi
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Aldosivi
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin
2:2
Sep 3, 2022 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin
1:2
Oct 9, 2021 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Aldosivi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarmiento Junin Compare

Top Goalscorer Zabala C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Aldosivi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento Junin 46 / 100
Aldosivi 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarmiento Junin Aldosivi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarmiento Junin's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aldosivi has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sarmiento Junin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarmiento Junin VS Aldosivi
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarmiento Junin

(Home)
19 Sept
Racing Club
3 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
13 Sept
Sarmiento Junin
1 : 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
04 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2
Sarmiento Junin
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
23 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 6

Aldosivi

(Away)
04 Oct
Huracan
1 : 0
Aldosivi
21 Sept
Aldosivi
1 : 0
Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
4 : 3
Aldosivi
05 Sept
Aldosivi
3 : 1
Banfield
30 Aug
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 1
Aldosivi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 19:7 31
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 22:9 30
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 18:12 28
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 17:13 26
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 24:20 24
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 18:15 24
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 14:14 22
8 Union de Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 24:20 21
9 Instituto 16 6 3 7 17:17 21
10 Defensa y Justicia 16 4 7 5 18:21 19
11 Gimnasia Mendoza 16 5 4 7 14:22 19
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 10:15 16
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 16 4 4 8 11:21 16
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 15:27 15
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 5:12 11
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 29:15 34
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 22:12 29
3 Argentinos Jrs 16 8 5 3 17:13 29
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 20:16 28
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 16 7 5 4 17:13 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 19:19 26
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 17:13 22
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 17:15 21
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 15:15 21
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 18:15 20
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 13:20 19
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 17:19 18
13 Atl. Tucuman 16 3 5 8 15:20 14
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 6:19 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 5:24 5
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)