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Sarmiento Junin vs Argentinos Jrs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Eva Peron, Junin
Sarmiento Junin Logo

Sarmiento Junin

2 - 3
FT
Argentinos Jrs Logo

Argentinos Jrs

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Gimenez E.
16'
Paredes F.
24'
Morales I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Sarmiento Junin and Argentinos Jrs finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Argentinos Jrs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sarmiento Junin
30%
Draws
37%
Argentinos Jrs
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Argentinos Jrs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Argentinos Jrs come out ahead of Sarmiento Junin on wins alone.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sarmiento Junin Clean Sheet 22%
Argentinos Jrs Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarmiento Junin Argentinos Jrs
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.11 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Argentinos Jrs
2:3
Jan 26, 2026 Liga Profesional
Argentinos Jrs vs Sarmiento Junin
1:0
Aug 8, 2024 Liga Profesional
Argentinos Jrs vs Sarmiento Junin
0:0
Apr 8, 2023 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Argentinos Jrs
2:0
Jun 11, 2022 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Argentinos Jrs
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarmiento Junin Compare

Top Goalscorer Marabel J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orihuela R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Argentinos Jrs Compare

Top Goalscorer Lescano A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prieto S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento Junin 32 / 100
Argentinos Jrs 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarmiento Junin Argentinos Jrs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Argentinos Jrs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarmiento Junin found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Argentinos Jrs conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Sarmiento Junin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarmiento Junin VS Argentinos Jrs
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarmiento Junin

(Home)
19 Sept
Racing Club
3 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
13 Sept
Sarmiento Junin
1 : 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
04 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2
Sarmiento Junin
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
23 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 6

Argentinos Jrs

(Away)
04 Oct
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 1
Tigre
20 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
13 Sept
Argentinos Jrs
1 : 1
Gimnasia L.P.
07 Sept
Barracas Central
0 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
30 Aug
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 1
Aldosivi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 11 8 1 2 17:8 25
2 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
3 Defensa y Justicia 11 6 3 2 16:11 21
4 Boca Juniors 11 5 5 1 17:11 20
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 11 4 1 6 13:11 13
10 Union de Santa Fe 11 4 1 6 17:19 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 11 2 3 6 8:14 9
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
4 Huracan 11 5 4 2 11:8 19
5 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
6 Gimnasia L.P. 11 5 3 3 16:16 18
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 Barracas Central 11 4 3 4 8:9 15
9 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
10 Atl. Tucuman 11 3 4 4 9:9 13
11 Tigre 11 3 3 5 10:11 12
12 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
13 Banfield 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Aldosivi 11 2 2 7 12:17 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11 1 3 7 6:15 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)