Sport Picks
Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors
Argentina
Copa Argentina Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario 
Match Events
18'
18'
Santamaria T.
41'
41'
Orihuela R.
51'
51'
Velasco A.
Assist: Delgado M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boca Juniors
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Boca Juniors lately — more wins on the board than Sarmiento Junin.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Boca Juniors arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Boca Juniors, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sarmiento Junin Clean Sheet 15%
Boca Juniors Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.16 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 Copa Argentina
Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors
0:2
Nov 11, 2024 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors
0:2
Feb 1, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors vs Sarmiento Junin
1:1
Aug 27, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors
1:0
Jul 3, 2023 Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors vs Sarmiento Junin
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sarmiento Junin Compare
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.58
Boca Juniors Compare
Top Goalscorer Velasco A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Flores L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sarmiento Junin 31 / 100
Boca Juniors 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sarmiento Junin Boca Juniors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boca Juniors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sarmiento Junin scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Sarmiento Junin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Boca Juniors has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sarmiento Junin VS Boca Juniors
1.57 Goals Scored 1.75
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarmiento Junin
(Home) 19 Sept
Racing Club
3 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
13 Sept
Sarmiento Junin
1 : 1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
04 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
23 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Sarmiento Junin
1 : 1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
23 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
16 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 0 Huracan
03 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 1 Ind. Rivadavia
23 Jul
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 3 Argentinos Jrs
Page 1 of 4
Boca Juniors
(Away) 20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 Boca Juniors
12 Sept
Boca Juniors
3 : 1 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
09 Sept
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Sao Paulo
05 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 2 Boca Juniors
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 Boca Juniors
05 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 2 Boca Juniors
03 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
0 : 1 Boca Juniors
24 Aug
Racing Club
1 : 1 Boca Juniors
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
San Lorenzo 5
Deportivo Rincon 0
Deportivo Riestra 1
Deportivo Maipu 0
Newells Old Boys 0
Acassuso 2
Gimnasia L.P. 4
Deportivo Camioneros 1
Banfield 3
Real Pilar 0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0
San Martin T. 1
Godoy Cruz 0
Deportivo Moron 1
Argentinos Jrs 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
San Martin Formosa 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
Chaco For Ever 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
Gimnasia Jujuy 3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Atl. Rafaela 0
Velez Sarsfield 4
Deportivo Armenio 1
Gimnasia Mendoza 0
Gimnasia y Tiro 1
Sarmiento Junin 1
Tristan Suarez 0
Boca Juniors 2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0
River Plate 1
Ciudad Bolivar 0
Aldosivi 3
San Miguel 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
CA Estudiantes 0
Tigre 2
Claypole 0
Talleres Cordoba 2
Argentino de Merlo 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
Sportivo Barracas 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Agropecuario 0
Independiente 4
Biblioteca Atenas 2
Platense 1
Argentino MM 0
San Martin S.J. 2
Deportivo Madryn 0
Instituto 2
Atletico Atlanta 0
Lanus 4
Sarmiento de La Banda 1
Estudiantes L.P. 4
Ituzaingo 0
Rosario Central 2
Sportivo Belgrano 0
Barracas Central 3
Temperley 2
Huracan 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo 1
Deportivo Riestra 2
Acassuso 0
Gimnasia L.P. 3
Banfield 2
San Martin T. 1
Deportivo Moron 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 4
Defensa y Justicia 1
Gimnasia Jujuy 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Velez Sarsfield 2
Gimnasia y Tiro 0
Sarmiento Junin 0
Boca Juniors 2
River Plate 1
Aldosivi 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Tigre 0
Talleres Cordoba 0
Atl. Tucuman 3
Union de Santa Fe 0
Independiente 2
Platense 1
San Martin S.J. 0
Instituto 2
Lanus 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Rosario Central 0
Barracas Central 1
Huracan 0
1/8-finals
Deportivo Riestra 2
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Banfield 3
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0
Velez Sarsfield 0
Boca Juniors 1
Aldosivi 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
Atl. Tucuman 4
Independiente 0
Platense 2
Instituto 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Barracas Central 1
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Riestra 1
Banfield 2
Racing Club -
Boca Juniors -
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Atl. Tucuman 2
Platense -
Estudiantes L.P. -
Semi-finals
Banfield -
TBD -
Atl. Tucuman -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
