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Sarnese vs Citta di Anagni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Alfano D.
34' Event
Maggio D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G game between Sarnese and Citta di Anagni finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarnese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sarnese
20%
Draws
35%
Citta di Anagni
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sarnese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sarnese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sarnese a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sarnese Clean Sheet 20%
Citta di Anagni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarnese Citta di Anagni
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 12 8
Draws 11 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Sarnese vs Citta di Anagni
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarnese Compare

Top Goalscorer Maggio D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Citta di Anagni Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarnese 36 / 100
Citta di Anagni 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarnese Citta di Anagni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarnese found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Sarnese has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Citta di Anagni conceded in 67% of 21 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sarnese VS Citta di Anagni
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarnese

(Home)
18 Oct
Sarnese
1 : 0
Citta di Anagni
11 Oct
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 1
Sarnese
04 Oct
Sarnese
2 : 1
Paganese
27 Sept
Ossese
2 : 2
Sarnese
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1
Gelbison
Page 1 of 6

Citta di Anagni

(Away)
18 Oct
Sarnese
1 : 0
Citta di Anagni
11 Oct
Citta di Anagni
3 : 1
Gelbison
04 Oct
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 0
Citta di Anagni
27 Sept
Citta di Anagni
4 : 0
Afragolese
20 Sept
Latte Dolce
1 : 2
Citta di Anagni
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 8 6 2 0 13:6 20
2 Monastir 8 5 1 2 21:13 16
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
4 Trastevere Calcio 8 4 2 2 11:14 14
5 Paganese 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Unipomezia 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
7 Ossese 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
8 Albalonga 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
9 Aranova 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
10 Anzio Calcio 1924 8 3 3 2 8:6 12
11 Afragolese 8 2 4 2 9:7 10
12 Citta di Anagni 8 3 1 4 10:12 10
13 Gelbison 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
14 US Venafro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
15 Budoni Calcio 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
17 Latte Dolce 8 1 3 4 9:14 6
18 Atl. Lodigiani 8 0 1 7 8:22 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)