Sport Picks
Sarnese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group G 
AI Match Summary
Sarnese host Sarrabus Ogliastra in the Serie D - Group G. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sarrabus Ogliastra have shipped 1.33 goals a game lately, while Sarnese have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.45. Past meetings favor Sarnese slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.76) point toward Sarnese. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Sarnese come out ahead of Sarrabus Ogliastra on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Sarnese's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarnese | Sarrabus Ogliastra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sarnese scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Sarnese went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Sarrabus Ogliastra has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sarnese
(Home)Sarrabus Ogliastra
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarnese | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Monastir | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21:13 | 16 |
| 3 | Certosa V. Campagnano | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Trastevere Calcio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:14 | 14 |
| 5 | Paganese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 13 |
| 6 | Unipomezia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Ossese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Albalonga | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 9 | Aranova | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Anzio Calcio 1924 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 11 | Afragolese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 12 | Citta di Anagni | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 13 | Gelbison | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 14 | US Venafro | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | 8 |
| 15 | Budoni Calcio | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 17 | Latte Dolce | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Atl. Lodigiani | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8:22 | 1 |
