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Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Elverum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sarpsborg 08 2 host Elverum in the Division 3 - Group 6. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Sarpsborg 08 2 at 2.28 goals for, 2.28 against; Elverum at 2.69 for, 1.97 against. Past meetings favor Elverum slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 7, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (2.88 - 2.56) back Elverum to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Sarpsborg 08 2
20%
Draws
48%
Elverum
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elverum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elverum come out ahead of Sarpsborg 08 2 on wins alone.
  • Elverum are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Elverum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 2 Elverum
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 2.28 2.69
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Elverum vs Sarpsborg 08 2
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 2 26 / 100
Elverum 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 2 Elverum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elverum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sarpsborg 08 2 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Elverum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Sarpsborg 08 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 2 VS Elverum
3 Goals Scored 3.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08 2

(Home)
19 Oct
Sarpsborg 08 2
7 : 0
Bjorkelangen
12 Oct
Sarpsborg 08 2
1 : 1
Raelingen
03 Oct
Drobak-Frogn
4 : 1
Sarpsborg 08 2
26 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Gjovik-Lyn
21 Sept
Lyn 2
2 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 2
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Elverum

(Away)
17 Oct
Drobak-Frogn
1 : 3
Elverum
12 Oct
Elverum
4 : 3
Lyn 2
03 Oct
Elverum
5 : 0
Bjorkelangen
26 Sept
Sandefjord 2
4 : 3
Elverum
19 Sept
Elverum
4 : 1
Raelingen
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