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Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Raelingen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sarpsborg 08 2 host Raelingen in the Division 3 - Group 6. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Sarpsborg 08 2 have averaged 2.03 scored and 2.45 conceded recently, against Raelingen's 1.9 scored and 2.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Sarpsborg 08 2 have won 0 to Raelingen's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 20, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 1.75, favoring Raelingen. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sarpsborg 08 2
20%
Draws
23%
Raelingen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sarpsborg 08 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Raelingen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sarpsborg 08 2 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Raelingen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 2 Raelingen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 2.03 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.45 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Raelingen vs Sarpsborg 08 2
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 2 83 / 100
Raelingen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 2 Raelingen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raelingen let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Sarpsborg 08 2 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Sarpsborg 08 2 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 2 VS Raelingen
3.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08 2

(Home)
03 Oct
Drobak-Frogn
4 : 1
Sarpsborg 08 2
26 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Gjovik-Lyn
21 Sept
Lyn 2
2 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 2
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
07 Sept
Orn
3 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
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Raelingen

(Away)
03 Oct
Gjovik-Lyn
5 : 0
Raelingen
28 Sept
Raelingen
1 : 0
Lyn 2
19 Sept
Elverum
4 : 1
Raelingen
12 Sept
Raelingen
2 : 2
Drobak-Frogn
05 Sept
Lillehammer
3 : 0
Raelingen
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