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Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Sandefjord 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Lie M. D.
32' Event
Bakkenget M.
49' Event
Bakkenget M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 game between Sarpsborg 08 2 and Sandefjord 2 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sandefjord 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sarpsborg 08 2
30%
Draws
37%
Sandefjord 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sandefjord 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sarpsborg 08 2 haven't matched Sandefjord 2's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Sandefjord 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 2 Sandefjord 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 2.03 2.28
Goals Conceded 2.45 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Sandefjord 2
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakkenget M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Sandefjord 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lie M. D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Halvorsen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 2 30 / 100
Sandefjord 2 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 2 Sandefjord 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sandefjord 2 let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sarpsborg 08 2 scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Sarpsborg 08 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 2 VS Sandefjord 2
3.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08 2

(Home)
03 Oct
Drobak-Frogn
4 : 1
Sarpsborg 08 2
26 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Gjovik-Lyn
21 Sept
Lyn 2
2 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 2
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
07 Sept
Orn
3 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
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Sandefjord 2

(Away)
03 Oct
Fram
1 : 1
Sandefjord 2
26 Sept
Sandefjord 2
4 : 3
Elverum
21 Sept
Brumunddal
1 : 2
Sandefjord 2
12 Sept
Sandefjord 2
1 : 1
Orn
05 Sept
Sandefjord 2
2 : 1
Oppsal
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