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Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Karlsbakk D.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Opoku M.
59' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sarpsborg 08 and Ham-Kam finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarpsborg 08.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sarpsborg 08
11%
Draws
9%
Ham-Kam
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Sarpsborg 08

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sarpsborg 08 come out ahead of Ham-Kam on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sarpsborg 08's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sarpsborg 08 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 20%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 Ham-Kam
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
1:0
Mar 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
2:2
Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
3:2
Aug 31, 2025 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08
1:3
May 11, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Opoku M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sandberg N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ham-Kam Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 76 / 100
Ham-Kam 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 Ham-Kam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarpsborg 08 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Ham-Kam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: Sarpsborg 08 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 VS Ham-Kam
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08

(Home)
26 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Ham-Kam
18 Jul
Kristiansund
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Viking
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
29 May
Brann
1 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
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Ham-Kam

(Away)
26 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Ham-Kam
22 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0
Ham-Kam
18 Jul
Ham-Kam
1 : 4
Tromso
12 Jul
Sandefjord
2 : 2
Ham-Kam
27 Jun
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
Ham-Kam
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