Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Karlsbakk D.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Opoku M.
59' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sarpsborg 08 and Ham-Kam finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarpsborg 08.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sarpsborg 08
35%
Draws
35%
Ham-Kam
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ham-Kam come out ahead of Sarpsborg 08 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sarpsborg 08's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sarpsborg 08 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 20%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 Ham-Kam
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
1:0
Mar 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
2:2
Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
3:2
Aug 31, 2025 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08
1:3
May 11, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Opoku M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sandberg N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ham-Kam Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 42 / 100
Ham-Kam 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 Ham-Kam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ham-Kam conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Sarpsborg 08 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Sarpsborg 08 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 VS Ham-Kam
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08

(Home)
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
Page 1 of 6

Ham-Kam

(Away)
16 Sept
Kjelsas
0 : 2
Ham-Kam
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5
Molde
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Ham-Kam
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2
Kristiansund
23 Aug
Trysil
0 : 5
Ham-Kam
Page 1 of 6