Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sarpsborg 08 host Sandefjord in the Eliteserien. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sandefjord have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Sarpsborg 08 have conceded 1.22 and scored 1.52. Past meetings favor Sarpsborg 08 slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.06) point toward Sarpsborg 08. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Sarpsborg 08
30%
Draws
8%
Sandefjord
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarpsborg 08

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Not much separates Sarpsborg 08 and Sandefjord on recent form.
  • Win probability leans Sarpsborg 08's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sarpsborg 08 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 20%
Sandefjord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 Sandefjord
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08
3:2
May 7, 2025 NM Cup
Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord
3:1
Aug 4, 2024 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 76 / 100
Sandefjord 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 Sandefjord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarpsborg 08 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Sandefjord conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Sarpsborg 08 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 VS Sandefjord
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08

(Home)
02 Aug
Molde
3 : 3
Sarpsborg 08
26 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Ham-Kam
18 Jul
Kristiansund
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Viking
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
Page 1 of 6

Sandefjord

(Away)
01 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0
Sandefjord
26 Jul
Sandefjord
0 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
18 Jul
Viking
2 : 1
Sandefjord
12 Jul
Sandefjord
2 : 2
Ham-Kam
30 May
Molde
2 : 1
Sandefjord
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 16 12 2 2 41:11 38
2 Viking 15 12 1 2 37:14 37
3 Tromso 16 10 4 2 32:17 34
4 Lillestrom 15 8 1 6 22:18 25
5 Molde 15 7 3 5 28:22 24
6 Brann 16 7 1 8 33:27 22
7 Sarpsborg 08 15 6 4 5 18:19 22
8 Ham-Kam 15 6 3 6 23:26 21
9 Valerenga 15 6 2 7 22:27 20
10 Rosenborg 15 5 3 7 21:21 18
11 Fredrikstad 15 5 2 8 16:27 17
12 Sandefjord 15 4 3 8 13:21 15
13 KFUM Oslo 15 4 3 8 17:26 15
14 Aalesund 15 2 7 6 21:35 13
15 Kristiansund 15 3 3 9 13:25 12
16 Start 16 2 4 10 16:37 10
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)