Sport Picks
Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Norway
Eliteserien Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg 
Match Events
11'
11'
Borkeeiet T.
28'
28'
Kapskarmo O.
36'
36'
Karlsbakk D.
Assist: Sorli S.
AI Match Summary
Sandefjord in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sandefjord.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sandefjord
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Sandefjord have won more games recently than Sarpsborg 08.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 10%
Sandefjord Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarpsborg 08 | Sandefjord |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08
3:2
May 7, 2025 NM Cup
Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sarpsborg 08 Compare
Top Goalscorer Karlsbakk D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Sandefjord Compare
Top Goalscorer Kapskarmo O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Apetorgbor F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sarpsborg 08 34 / 100
Sandefjord 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sarpsborg 08 Sandefjord
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sandefjord Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Sarpsborg 08 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Sandefjord has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Sarpsborg 08 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sarpsborg 08 VS Sandefjord
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarpsborg 08
(Home) 30 Sept
Follo
0 : 2 Sarpsborg 08
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3 KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2 Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0 Sarpsborg 08
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18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3 KFUM Oslo
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2 Valerenga
16 Aug
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 2 Sandefjord
26 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0 Ham-Kam
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0 Viking
Page 1 of 3
Sandefjord
(Away) 30 Sept
Flint
0 : 1 Sandefjord
20 Sept
Sandefjord
3 : 0 Start
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2 Sandefjord
04 Sept
Sandefjord
1 : 1 Viking
30 Aug
Sandefjord
0 : 0 Brann
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Flint
0 : 1 Sandefjord
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2 Sandefjord
23 Aug
Eidanger
0 : 15 Sandefjord
16 Aug
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 2 Sandefjord
01 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 Sandefjord
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54:20 | 50 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53:19 | 50 |
| 3 | Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40:29 | 38 |
| 4 | Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 36 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28:29 | 32 |
| 7 | Brann | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | 25 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | 25 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | 23 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34:43 | 23 |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29:44 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | 21 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21:40 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:44 | 16 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
