Sport Picks
Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga
Norway
Eliteserien Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg 
AI Match Summary
Sarpsborg 08 host Valerenga in the Eliteserien. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Sarpsborg 08 at 1.39 goals for, 1.29 against; Valerenga at 2.1 for, 1.67 against. Past meetings favor Valerenga slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 2.19, favoring Valerenga. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Valerenga come out ahead of Sarpsborg 08 on wins alone.
- Sarpsborg 08 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Valerenga have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarpsborg 08 | Valerenga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sarpsborg 08's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Valerenga has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Sarpsborg 08 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sarpsborg 08
(Home)Valerenga
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43:12 | 41 |
| 2 | Viking | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40:17 | 40 |
| 3 | Tromso | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34:20 | 34 |
| 4 | Molde | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:26 | 27 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 6 | Brann | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 36:27 | 25 |
| 7 | Rosenborg | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 18:27 | 23 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:23 | 22 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:30 | 22 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 28:34 | 21 |
| 12 | KFUM Oslo | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19:27 | 19 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 15:23 | 18 |
| 14 | Kristiansund | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 27:41 | 15 |
| 16 | Start | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16:38 | 10 |
