Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarpsborg 08 W vs Honefoss W

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Masdal S.
90' Event
Anderdal A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Honefoss W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sarpsborg 08 W
15%
Draws
49%
Honefoss W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Honefoss W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Honefoss W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sarpsborg 08 W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Honefoss W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Honefoss W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sarpsborg 08 W Clean Sheet 10%
Honefoss W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 W Honefoss W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.43
Goals Conceded 3.47 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Norway Cup Women
Sarpsborg 08 W vs Honefoss W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Honefoss W Compare

Top Goalscorer Masdal S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anderdal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 W 38 / 100
Honefoss W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 W Honefoss W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Honefoss W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Sarpsborg 08 W found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Honefoss W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 W VS Honefoss W
1.33 Goals Scored 1.25
2.67 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08 W

(Home)
08 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 W
2 : 6
Grei W
12 May
Sarpsborg 08 W
0 : 2
Honefoss W
22 Apr
Sarpsborg 08 W
2 : 0
Kolbotn W
22 Mar
IFK Goteborg W
1 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 W
07 May
Raufoss W
1 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 W
Page 1 of 6

Honefoss W

(Away)
19 Sept
Honefoss W
0 : 0
Roa W
13 Sept
Molde W
0 : 1
Honefoss W
31 Aug
Honefoss W
0 : 1
Aalesund W
19 Aug
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Honefoss W
15 Aug
Honefoss W
0 : 3
Brann W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kongsvinger W 2
Grei W 5
Bodo/Glimt W -
TBD -
Ovrevoll Hosle W 1
Frigg W 2
TBD -
Lyn W -
Fana W 3
Klepp W 2
Lyngbo W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 5
Forde W 0
Sogndal W 5
TBD -
Brann W -
Raufoss W 0
Viking W 2
TBD -
Haugesund W -
Grimstad W 1
Bryne W 3
Arendal W 0
Start W 7
Ranheim W 1
Tynset W 4
TBD -
LSK Kvinner W -
Sarpsborg 08 W 2
Kolbotn W 0
TBD -
Honefoss W -
Sandefjord W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 3
KFUM Oslo W 0
Asane W 3
Rana FK W 1
Malvik W 3
TBD -
Rosenborg W -
Alta W 3
Krokelvdalen W 0
TBD -
Roa W -
Stromsgodset W 1
Odds BK W 2
TBD -
Stabaek W -
Melbo W 1
Medkila W 8
Lillestrom W 1
Tromso W 9
Storhamar Fotball W 0
Ham-Kam W 3
Valerenga W -
TBD -
Hodd W 0
Kil/Hemne W 3
TBD -
Aalesund W -
Steinkjer W 0
Tiller W 4
TBD -
Molde W -
1/16-finals
Grei W 3
Bodo/Glimt W 1
Frigg W 0
Lyn W 4
Fana W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 1
Sogndal W 1
Brann W 5
Viking W 3
Haugesund W 2
Bryne W 1
Start W 2
Tynset W 0
LSK Kvinner W 3
Sarpsborg 08 W 0
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 1
Asane W 0
Malvik W 0
Rosenborg W 15
Alta W 0
Roa W 10
Odds BK W 0
Stabaek W 4
Medkila W 0
Tromso W 7
Ham-Kam W 1
Valerenga W 8
Kil/Hemne W 1
Aalesund W 6
Tiller W 1
Molde W 3
1/8-finals
Grei W 1
Lyn W 4
Fana W 0
Brann W 3
Viking W 3
Start W 0
LSK Kvinner W 2
Honefoss W 3
Arna-Bjornar W 4
Rosenborg W 0
Roa W 1
Stabaek W 2
Tromso W 1
Valerenga W 3
Aalesund W 5
Molde W 1
Quarter-finals
Lyn W 0
Brann W 2
Viking W 4
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 2
Stabaek W 3
Valerenga W 1
Aalesund W 2
Semi-finals
Brann W 3
Viking W 0
Stabaek W 3
Aalesund W 4
Final
Brann W 3
Aalesund W 1