Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarpsborg 08 W vs Kolbotn W

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Larsen I.
56' Event
Martinsen M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Sarpsborg 08 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sarpsborg 08 W
15%
Draws
49%
Kolbotn W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kolbotn W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Sarpsborg 08 W haven't matched Kolbotn W's recent run of results.
  • Sarpsborg 08 W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Kolbotn W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kolbotn W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sarpsborg 08 W Clean Sheet 10%
Kolbotn W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 W Kolbotn W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 3 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.96
Goals Conceded 3.47 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Norway Cup Women
Sarpsborg 08 W vs Kolbotn W
2:0
Jan 31, 2020 Club Friendly Women
Sarpsborg 08 W vs Kolbotn W
0:11

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinsen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Kolbotn W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 W 38 / 100
Kolbotn W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 W Kolbotn W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kolbotn W has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Sarpsborg 08 W's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kolbotn W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 W VS Kolbotn W
1 Goals Scored 1.25
4 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08 W

(Home)
08 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 W
2 : 6
Grei W
12 May
Sarpsborg 08 W
0 : 2
Honefoss W
22 Apr
Sarpsborg 08 W
2 : 0
Kolbotn W
22 Mar
IFK Goteborg W
1 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 W
07 May
Raufoss W
1 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 W
Page 1 of 6

Kolbotn W

(Away)
13 Sept
Tromso W
2 : 2
Kolbotn W
30 Aug
Kolbotn W
1 : 3
Start W
16 Aug
Grei W
3 : 1
Kolbotn W
09 Aug
Kolbotn W
0 : 6
Viking W
02 Aug
Frigg W
2 : 3
Kolbotn W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kongsvinger W 2
Grei W 5
Bodo/Glimt W -
TBD -
Ovrevoll Hosle W 1
Frigg W 2
TBD -
Lyn W -
Fana W 3
Klepp W 2
Lyngbo W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 5
Forde W 0
Sogndal W 5
TBD -
Brann W -
Raufoss W 0
Viking W 2
TBD -
Haugesund W -
Grimstad W 1
Bryne W 3
Arendal W 0
Start W 7
Ranheim W 1
Tynset W 4
TBD -
LSK Kvinner W -
Sarpsborg 08 W 2
Kolbotn W 0
TBD -
Honefoss W -
Sandefjord W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 3
KFUM Oslo W 0
Asane W 3
Rana FK W 1
Malvik W 3
TBD -
Rosenborg W -
Alta W 3
Krokelvdalen W 0
TBD -
Roa W -
Stromsgodset W 1
Odds BK W 2
TBD -
Stabaek W -
Melbo W 1
Medkila W 8
Lillestrom W 1
Tromso W 9
Storhamar Fotball W 0
Ham-Kam W 3
Valerenga W -
TBD -
Hodd W 0
Kil/Hemne W 3
TBD -
Aalesund W -
Steinkjer W 0
Tiller W 4
TBD -
Molde W -
1/16-finals
Grei W 3
Bodo/Glimt W 1
Frigg W 0
Lyn W 4
Fana W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 1
Sogndal W 1
Brann W 5
Viking W 3
Haugesund W 2
Bryne W 1
Start W 2
Tynset W 0
LSK Kvinner W 3
Sarpsborg 08 W 0
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 1
Asane W 0
Malvik W 0
Rosenborg W 15
Alta W 0
Roa W 10
Odds BK W 0
Stabaek W 4
Medkila W 0
Tromso W 7
Ham-Kam W 1
Valerenga W 8
Kil/Hemne W 1
Aalesund W 6
Tiller W 1
Molde W 3
1/8-finals
Grei W 1
Lyn W 4
Fana W 0
Brann W 3
Viking W 3
Start W 0
LSK Kvinner W 2
Honefoss W 3
Arna-Bjornar W 4
Rosenborg W 0
Roa W 1
Stabaek W 2
Tromso W 1
Valerenga W 3
Aalesund W 5
Molde W 1
Quarter-finals
Lyn W 0
Brann W 2
Viking W 4
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 2
Stabaek W 3
Valerenga W 1
Aalesund W 2
Semi-finals
Brann W 3
Viking W 0
Stabaek W 3
Aalesund W 4
Final
Brann W 3
Aalesund W 1