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Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Afragolese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
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AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G game between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Afragolese finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
35%
Draws
46%
Afragolese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Afragolese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sarrabus Ogliastra come out ahead of Afragolese on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 20%
Afragolese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarrabus Ogliastra Afragolese
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Afragolese
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarrabus Ogliastra 32 / 100
Afragolese 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarrabus Ogliastra Afragolese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarrabus Ogliastra found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Afragolese let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sarrabus Ogliastra remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarrabus Ogliastra VS Afragolese
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarrabus Ogliastra

(Home)
07 Oct
Latte Dolce
3 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
04 Oct
Latte Dolce
1 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Unipomezia
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2
Certosa V. Campagnano
Page 1 of 6

Afragolese

(Away)
04 Oct
Afragolese
0 : 2
Ossese
27 Sept
Citta di Anagni
4 : 0
Afragolese
20 Sept
Afragolese
4 : 0
US Venafro
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0
Afragolese
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1
Sarnese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Monastir 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 6 4 0 2 10:4 12
4 Unipomezia 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
5 Ossese 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
6 Trastevere Calcio 6 3 2 1 8:10 11
7 Paganese 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
8 Anzio Calcio 1924 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Albalonga 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
10 Gelbison 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 Budoni Calcio 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
12 Citta di Anagni 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
13 Aranova 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
14 Afragolese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
15 Sarrabus Ogliastra 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Latte Dolce 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
17 US Venafro 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
18 Atl. Lodigiani 6 0 1 5 8:17 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)