Sport Picks
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Arzachena Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 
Match Events
60'
60'
Sartor M.
90'
90'
Floris M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 game between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Arzachena finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arzachena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Arzachena carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Arzachena taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 22%
Arzachena Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarrabus Ogliastra | Arzachena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.12 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Arzachena
1:1
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Arzachena vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
0:1
Sep 4, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Arzachena vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare
Top Goalscorer Floris M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Arzachena Compare
Top Goalscorer Sartor M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sarrabus Ogliastra 13 / 100
Arzachena 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sarrabus Ogliastra Arzachena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arzachena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arzachena let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Sarrabus Ogliastra found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (34 games).
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Sarrabus Ogliastra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sarrabus Ogliastra VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarrabus Ogliastra
(Home) 27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Unipomezia
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2 Certosa V. Campagnano
13 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
0 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2 Monastir
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Unipomezia
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2 Certosa V. Campagnano
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2 Monastir
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Olbia
12 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 1 Budoni Calcio
Page 1 of 4
Arzachena
(Away) 14 May
Casertana
3 : 3 Arzachena
07 May
Arzachena
2 : 1 Ilvamaddalena
30 Apr
SS Nola 1925
1 : 2 Arzachena
23 Apr
Arzachena
3 : 0 Palmese 1914
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3 Arzachena
Page 1 of 6
14 May
Casertana
3 : 3 Arzachena
30 Apr
SS Nola 1925
1 : 2 Arzachena
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3 Arzachena
02 Apr
Portici 1906
1 : 2 Arzachena
11 Mar
Atletico Uri
1 : 3 Arzachena
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sorrento | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 53:28 | 70 |
| 2 | Paganese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 56:29 | 68 |
| 3 | Casertana | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Arzachena | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 51:40 | 57 |
| 5 | Lupa Frascati | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 44:29 | 50 |
| 6 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:44 | 49 |
| 7 | Cassino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 8 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 51:55 | 45 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51:54 | 43 |
| 10 | Tivoli Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:39 | 41 |
| 11 | Vis Artena | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 24:28 | 41 |
| 12 | Portici 1906 | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 45:49 | 40 |
| 13 | Angri | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Atletico Uri | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 45:62 | 39 |
| 15 | Ilvamaddalena | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pomezia | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 40:58 | 35 |
| 17 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:55 | 35 |
| 18 | Aprilia | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:47 | 34 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)
