Sport Picks

Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gelbison - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy

Serie D - Group G

Gelbison

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sarrabus Ogliastra host Gelbison in the Serie D - Group G. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Gelbison have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Sarrabus Ogliastra have conceded 1.35 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Gelbison slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.38) back Gelbison to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Sarrabus Ogliastra

20%

Draws

65%

Gelbison

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gelbison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

Gelbison have won more games recently than Sarrabus Ogliastra.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 17%

Gelbison Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sarrabus Ogliastra	Gelbison
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	8	17
Draws	8	6
Losses	15	8
Goals Scored	0.97	1.45
Goals Conceded	1.35	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group G

Gelbison vs Sarrabus Ogliastra

1:0

Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group G

Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gelbison

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarrabus Ogliastra 31 / 100

Gelbison 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sarrabus Ogliastra Gelbison

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gelbison Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarrabus Ogliastra found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Gelbison has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sarrabus Ogliastra remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarrabus Ogliastra VS Gelbison

0.63 Goals Scored 1.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History