Sport Picks
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Lupa Frascati - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 game between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Lupa Frascati finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lupa Frascati
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sarrabus Ogliastra have managed 1.06 goals a game lately — Lupa Frascati are scoring more at 1.3.
- Lupa Frascati are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 24%
Lupa Frascati Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarrabus Ogliastra | Lupa Frascati |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Lupa Frascati
0:0
Dec 4, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Lupa Frascati vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sarrabus Ogliastra 25 / 100
Lupa Frascati 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sarrabus Ogliastra Lupa Frascati
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lupa Frascati Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sarrabus Ogliastra found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (36 games).
Lupa Frascati has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Sarrabus Ogliastra has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sarrabus Ogliastra VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarrabus Ogliastra
(Home) 07 Oct
Latte Dolce
3 : 0 Sarrabus Ogliastra
04 Oct
Latte Dolce
1 : 0 Sarrabus Ogliastra
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Unipomezia
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2 Certosa V. Campagnano
Page 1 of 8
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Unipomezia
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2 Certosa V. Campagnano
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2 Monastir
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Olbia
12 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 1 Budoni Calcio
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Lupa Frascati
(Away) 14 May
Paganese
3 : 2 Lupa Frascati
07 May
Lupa Frascati
3 : 1 Cassino
30 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 1 Lupa Frascati
23 Apr
Lupa Frascati
1 : 1 Paganese
16 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0 Lupa Frascati
Page 1 of 6
14 May
Paganese
3 : 2 Lupa Frascati
30 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 1 Lupa Frascati
16 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0 Lupa Frascati
02 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0 Lupa Frascati
12 Mar
Aprilia
1 : 1 Lupa Frascati
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sorrento | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 53:28 | 70 |
| 2 | Paganese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 56:29 | 68 |
| 3 | Casertana | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Arzachena | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 51:40 | 57 |
| 5 | Lupa Frascati | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 44:29 | 50 |
| 6 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:44 | 49 |
| 7 | Cassino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 8 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 51:55 | 45 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51:54 | 43 |
| 10 | Tivoli Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:39 | 41 |
| 11 | Vis Artena | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 24:28 | 41 |
| 12 | Portici 1906 | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 45:49 | 40 |
| 13 | Angri | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Atletico Uri | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 45:62 | 39 |
| 15 | Ilvamaddalena | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pomezia | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 40:58 | 35 |
| 17 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:55 | 35 |
| 18 | Aprilia | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:47 | 34 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)
