Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarre Union vs Lorient

France France

Coupe de France 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Abdullah R.
38'
Ndong D.
41'
Dje J.

AI Match Summary

Lorient in this Coupe de France 2015/2016 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sarre Union
15%
Draws
34%
Lorient
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarre Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Lorient have won more games recently than Sarre Union.
  • Lorient are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Lorient arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lorient, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sarre Union Clean Sheet 20%
Lorient Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarre Union Lorient
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.16 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2016 Coupe de France
Sarre Union vs Lorient
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarre Union Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Lorient Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeannot B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fofana M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarre Union 24 / 100
Lorient 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarre Union Lorient

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorient Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Lorient let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Lorient's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sarre Union's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lorient
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarre Union

(Home)
29 Nov
Sarre Union
0 : 6
Sochaux
15 Nov
Villars-l'Isle
1 : 2
Sarre Union
16 Nov
Sarre Union
0 : 2
Thaon
09 Dec
Sarre Union
0 : 1
Pontarlier
18 Nov
Sarre Union
1 : 0
APM Metz
Page 1 of 7

Lorient

(Away)
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1
Lorient
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2
Troyes
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
15 Aug
Elversberg
4 : 1
Lorient
08 Aug
Angers
2 : 1
Lorient
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Libourne 2
Bourges 18 1
Saumur Olympique 0
Tours 2
Saint-Omer 2
Le Havre 0
Douai 0
Yvetot 2
Paris FC 1
CMS Oissel 0
Gonfreville 0
Boulogne 6
Niort 5
La Rochelle 1
La Gacilly 0
Les Herbiers 4
Nimes 1
Frontignan AC 0
Lucon 2
Moulins 3
Villefranche 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
GOAL FC 1
Grenoble 3
Schirrhein 2
Reding 0
Magny 0
Sarre Union 1
Saint-Malo 3
Red Star 1
Pirae 5
Pontivy 6
Orvault 3
St. Saturnin 1
Paimpol 0
Avranches 2
Rodeo 2
Perpignan 0
Thiers 0
Stade Bordelais 2
Genets 3
Vic Le Comte 0
Stade Balarucois 1
Stade Montois 7
Guingamp -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ailly sur Somme FC 3
Vimy 1
Sens 0
Chantilly 3
Sainte-Marienne 2
Saint Lo Manche 0
Cholet ASPTT 0
Vertou 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GFC Ajaccio -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colmar 4
Selongey 1
Clouange 0
Raon L Etape 3
De Volvic 1
Nord 17 0
Bourges 2
Gueret 3
Excelsior 1
Poissy 0
Bretigny Foot 1
AC Ajaccio 2
Concarneau 4
Montgermont 0
Zouasia 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 3
St. Renan 3
Liffre 2
Change 2
TA Rennes 3
Dunkerque 3
Reims Ste Anne 0
Aubervilliers 2
SC Hazebrouck 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Troyes -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lege Capferret 4
Agouado 0
Auxerre 1
Limoges 2
Reims -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orleans 7
Sauveur 1
Golden Star 0
Chambly 1
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quevilly 2
Lens 1
St Ouen 2
Sannois 3
Wasquehal 1
Prix les Mezieres 0
Montceau 1
Metz 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
Sochaux 2
Strasbourg 1
Dinsheim 2
Nancy 4
Alfortville 2
L'Etoile 1
Ebersheim 1
A.S. Pagny 2
Sedan 4
Creil 1
Saint-Amand 0
IC Croix 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bastia -
Thonon-Evian 1
Athletico Marseille 0
Andrezieux 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Pontcharra St Loup 2
Limonest 1
Gieres 0
Annecy 3
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 3
Istres 0
Saint Die 0
Hauts Lyonnais 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beziers 1
Sete 0
Espaly 1
Frejus Saint Raphael 3
Besancon RC 2
Jura Sud 1
Noisy Le Sec 1
Golden Lion 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Mantes 4
Iracoubo 0
Amiens SC 1
Marck 2
Brest 3
Montagnarde 0
Fougeres 0
Stade Briochin 1
Blanc Mesnil 1
Versailles 0
Balagne Rousse 3
Mainvilliers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Granville 2
SU Dives 0
Viry-Chatillon 1
Saint Nazaire 2
CPB Brequigny 3
Rostrenen 0
La Suze 1
Laval 2
Valenciennes 1
Creteil 0
Borgo FC (Inactive) 0
Beauvais 1
Dijon 9
Veyle Saone 0
Schiltigheim 1
Sarreguemines 2
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Mulhouse 2
Moulien 1
APM Metz 0
St. Louis Neuweg 3
Montelimar 1
Echirolles FC 0
Berre SP 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Trelissac 10
Panazol 0
Blagnac 1
Clermont 3
Montauban 4
Toulouse Saint 2
Colomiers 1
AS Muret 3
Amiens AC 2
Bethune 0
Olympique Marcquois 3
Maubeuge 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besancon FC 4
Chassieu Decines 0
Hienghene Sport 2
Epernay 3
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
1/64-finals
Lorient -
TBD -
Libourne 0
Tours 2
Saint-Omer 2
Yvetot 1
Paris FC 1
Boulogne 3
Niort 3
Les Herbiers 1
Nimes 0
Moulins 1
Villefranche 1
Grenoble 0
Schirrhein 1
Sarre Union 6
Saint-Malo 3
Pontivy 0
Orvault 1
Avranches 5
Rodeo 1
Stade Bordelais 0
Genets 1
Stade Montois 2
Guingamp -
TBD -
Ailly sur Somme FC 1
Chantilly 3
Sainte-Marienne 3
Vertou 2
TBD -
GFC Ajaccio -
St Etienne -
TBD -
Colmar 1
Raon L Etape 2
De Volvic 4
Gueret 2
Excelsior 0
AC Ajaccio 1
Concarneau 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 0
St. Renan 0
TA Rennes 4
Dunkerque 1
SC Hazebrouck 0
TBD -
Troyes -
Lyon -
TBD -
Lege Capferret 1
Limoges 2
Reims -
TBD -
Orleans 3
Chambly 4
Toulouse -
TBD -
Quevilly 1
Sannois 2
Wasquehal 2
Metz 1
TBD -
PSG -
Sochaux 1
Nancy 0
Alfortville 0
A.S. Pagny 1
Sedan 2
IC Croix 1
TBD -
Bastia -
Thonon-Evian 1
Lyon - La Duchere 0
Pontcharra St Loup 0
Annecy 5
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 3
Hauts Lyonnais 1
TBD -
Monaco -
Bordeaux -
TBD -
Beziers 0
Frejus Saint Raphael 1
Besancon RC 2
Golden Lion 1
TBD -
Angers -
Mantes 2
Marck 0
Brest 0
Stade Briochin 2
Blanc Mesnil 3
Mainvilliers 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Granville 2
Saint Nazaire 0
CPB Brequigny 1
Laval 4
Valenciennes 2
Beauvais 1
Dijon 1
Sarreguemines 2
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Mulhouse 3
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Montelimar 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Trelissac 1
Clermont 0
Montauban 0
AS Muret 3
Amiens AC 1
Maubeuge 0
TBD -
Lille -
Montpellier -
TBD -
Besancon FC 1
Epernay 2
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
1/32-finals
Lorient 3
Tours 2
Saint-Omer 2
Boulogne 3
Niort 2
Moulins 1
Villefranche 1
Sarre Union 2
Saint-Malo 2
Avranches 1
Rodeo 0
Stade Montois 1
Guingamp 4
Chantilly 0
Sainte-Marienne 0
GFC Ajaccio 2
St Etienne 2
Raon L Etape 1
De Volvic 0
AC Ajaccio 1
Concarneau 3
TA Rennes 0
Dunkerque 3
Troyes 4
Lyon 7
Limoges 0
Reims 1
Chambly 4
Toulouse 5
Sannois 0
Wasquehal 0
PSG 1
Sochaux 2
A.S. Pagny 0
Sedan 0
Bastia 2
Thonon-Evian 4
Annecy 1
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 2
Monaco 10
Bordeaux 3
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Besancon RC 1
Angers 3
Mantes 2
Stade Briochin 0
Blanc Mesnil 0
Nantes 2
Granville 2
Laval 1
Valenciennes 0
Sarreguemines 1
Rennes 3
Nice 2
Mulhouse 1
Bourg Peronnas 3
Trelissac 2
AS Muret 0
Amiens AC 0
Lille 1
Montpellier 1
Epernay 0
Caen 0
Marseille 1
1/16-finals
Lorient 3
Boulogne 1
Niort 0
Sarre Union 1
Saint-Malo 1
Stade Montois 0
Guingamp 0
GFC Ajaccio 3
St Etienne 2
AC Ajaccio 1
Concarneau 1
Troyes 3
Lyon 2
Chambly 0
Toulouse 1
PSG 2
Sochaux 2
Bastia 1
Thonon-Evian 1
Monaco 3
Bordeaux 2
Angers 1
Mantes 0
Nantes 1
Granville 3
Sarreguemines 1
Rennes 1
Bourg Peronnas 3
Trelissac 2
Lille 1
Montpellier 0
Marseille 2
1/8-finals
Lorient 4
Sarre Union 0
Saint-Malo 1
GFC Ajaccio 2
St Etienne 2
Troyes 1
Lyon 0
PSG 3
Sochaux 2
Monaco 1
Bordeaux 3
Nantes 4
Granville 1
Bourg Peronnas 0
Trelissac 0
Marseille 2
Quarter-finals
Lorient 3
GFC Ajaccio 0
St Etienne 1
PSG 3
Sochaux 3
Nantes 2
Granville 0
Marseille 1
Semi-finals
Lorient 0
PSG 1
Sochaux 0
Marseille 1
Final
PSG 4
Marseille 2