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Sarriana vs Arenteiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sarriana host Arenteiro in the Tercera RFEF - Group 1. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Arenteiro have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Sarriana have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.35. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 0.88, favoring Sarriana. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sarriana
15%
Draws
21%
Arenteiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarriana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sarriana come out ahead of Arenteiro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sarriana's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sarriana Clean Sheet 20%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarriana Arenteiro
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.35 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarriana 67 / 100
Arenteiro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarriana Arenteiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarriana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenteiro let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Sarriana found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Sarriana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Arenteiro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarriana VS Arenteiro
1.5 Goals Scored 0.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarriana

(Home)
04 Oct
Somozas
2 : 1
Sarriana
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2
Gran Pena
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0
Viveiro
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
Page 1 of 7

Arenteiro

(Away)
03 Oct
Arenteiro
2 : 3
Antela
27 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 0
Arenteiro
20 Sept
Arenteiro
1 : 0
Lalin
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
2 Barco 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lalin 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Antela 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
6 Racing Club Villalbes 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Alondras 5 3 0 2 10:9 9
8 Pontevedra B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
9 Portonovo SD 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Gran Pena 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
12 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Somozas 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Atletico Arteixo 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Silva SD 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 4:7 3
18 Montaneros 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)