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Sarriana vs Rapido de Bouzas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Boedo A.
81'
Alonso C.
90'
Lezcano R. D. J. I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Sarriana and Rapido de Bouzas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarriana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sarriana
15%
Draws
34%
Rapido de Bouzas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarriana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sarriana come out ahead of Rapido de Bouzas on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sarriana Clean Sheet 20%
Rapido de Bouzas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarriana Rapido de Bouzas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.26 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs Sarriana
5:1
Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Rapido de Bouzas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarriana Compare

Top Goalscorer Boedo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giammattei G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Rapido de Bouzas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarriana 32 / 100
Rapido de Bouzas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarriana Rapido de Bouzas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rapido de Bouzas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Sarriana's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Sarriana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarriana VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarriana

(Home)
04 Oct
Somozas
2 : 1
Sarriana
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2
Gran Pena
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0
Viveiro
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
Page 1 of 7

Rapido de Bouzas

(Away)
12 May
Rapido de Bouzas
5 : 1
Sarriana
05 May
Betanzos CF
1 : 0
Rapido de Bouzas
01 May
Rapido de Bouzas
2 : 0
Silva SD
27 Apr
Estradense
1 : 0
Rapido de Bouzas
20 Apr
Rapido de Bouzas
1 : 2
Lugo B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)