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Sasco Tbilisi vs Dinamo Batumi

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sasco Tbilisi play Dinamo Batumi in the Pirveli Liga 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sasco Tbilisi averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Dinamo Batumi averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Sasco Tbilisi won 1, Dinamo Batumi won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 2, 2014 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Sasco Tbilisi and 1.05 for Dinamo Batumi. This points to a Sasco Tbilisi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sasco Tbilisi
20%
Draws
38%
Dinamo Batumi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sasco Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sasco Tbilisi picked up more points recently compared to Dinamo Batumi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sasco Tbilisi Clean Sheet 22%
Dinamo Batumi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sasco Tbilisi Dinamo Batumi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.8 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2014 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Sasco Tbilisi vs Dinamo Batumi
1:0
Aug 31, 2013 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dinamo Batumi vs Sasco Tbilisi
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sasco Tbilisi 42 / 100
Dinamo Batumi 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sasco Tbilisi Dinamo Batumi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sasco Tbilisi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sasco Tbilisi attacking → ← attacking Dinamo Batumi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sasco Tbilisi scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Dinamo Batumi let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sasco Tbilisi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Dinamo Batumi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 33
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63