Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sassari Torres vs Livorno

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Vanni Sanna, Sassari
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Di Stefano L.
14' Event
Di Stefano L.
16' Event
Di Stefano L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Sassari Torres and Livorno finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sassari Torres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sassari Torres
44%
Draws
20%
Livorno
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Livorno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sassari Torres here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Sassari Torres Clean Sheet 23%
Livorno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassari Torres Livorno
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 9
Draws 14 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Sassari Torres vs Livorno
3:1
Nov 24, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Livorno vs Sassari Torres
3:1
Aug 16, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Sassari Torres vs Livorno
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassari Torres Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Stefano L.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Livorno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassari Torres 37 / 100
Livorno 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassari Torres Livorno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Sassari Torres found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Livorno has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Sassari Torres has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sassari Torres VS Livorno
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassari Torres

(Home)
16 May
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Bra
09 May
Bra
0 : 1
Sassari Torres
26 Apr
Arezzo
3 : 1
Sassari Torres
18 Apr
Sassari Torres
0 : 0
Gubbio
11 Apr
Pineto
0 : 0
Sassari Torres
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Livorno

(Away)
25 Jul
Livorno
1 : 1
Ghiviborgo
26 Apr
US Pontedera
0 : 2
Livorno
12 Apr
Arezzo
2 : 0
Livorno
03 Apr
Livorno
3 : 0
Gubbio
28 Mar
Sassari Torres
3 : 1
Livorno
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arezzo36248464:2480
2Ascoli36238563:2377
3Ravenna36227750:3073
4Campobasso361710949:3759
5Juventus U233614111146:4353
6Pianese361117837:3450
7Pineto3613111242:4550
8Gubbio3611151031:3248
9Ternana3614111144:4048
10Vis Pesaro3611131238:3646
11Livorno361271739:5143
12Forli FC3610101641:5240
13Carpi3610101635:4840
14Perugia368141438:4438
15Guidonia 1937368141430:3638
16Sambenedettese368131530:3737
17Sassari Torres366181232:4536
18Bra366141637:5432
19US Pontedera363112227:6220
20Rimini00000:00
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B (Play Out)