Sport Picks

Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo

2 - 1

Atalanta

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Idzes J.

16'

Pinamonti A.

21'

Bernasconi L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Sassuolo and Atalanta finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sassuolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Sassuolo

39%

Draws

31%

Atalanta

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Atalanta come out ahead of Sassuolo on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Sassuolo Clean Sheet 68%

Atalanta Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sassuolo	Atalanta
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	10	12
Draws	6	8
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	1.38	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie A

Sassuolo vs Atalanta

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Nov 9, 2025 Serie A

Atalanta vs Sassuolo

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

0:3

Feb 17, 2024 Serie A

Atalanta vs Sassuolo

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Jan 3, 2024 Coppa Italia

Atalanta vs Sassuolo

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

Aug 20, 2023 Serie A

Sassuolo vs Atalanta

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 0 - 4

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Thorstvedt K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Atalanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Musah Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo 41 / 100

Atalanta 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sassuolo Atalanta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sassuolo scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Atalanta has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sassuolo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo VS Atalanta

1.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter	38	27	6	5	89:35	87
2	Napoli	38	23	7	8	58:36	76
3	AS Roma	38	23	4	11	59:31	73
4	Como	38	20	11	7	65:29	71
5	AC Milan	38	20	10	8	53:35	70
6	Juventus	38	19	12	7	61:34	69
7	Atalanta	38	15	14	9	51:36	59
8	Bologna	38	16	8	14	49:46	56
9	Lazio	38	14	12	12	41:40	54
10	Udinese	38	14	8	16	45:48	50
11	Sassuolo	38	14	7	17	46:50	49
12	Torino	38	12	9	17	44:63	45
13	Parma	38	11	12	15	28:46	45
14	Cagliari	38	11	10	17	40:53	43
15	Fiorentina	38	9	15	14	41:50	42
16	Genoa	38	10	11	17	41:51	41
17	Lecce	38	10	8	20	28:50	38
18	Cremonese	38	8	10	20	32:57	34
19	Verona	38	3	12	23	25:61	21
20	Pisa	38	2	12	24	26:71	18