Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sassuolo vs Atalanta

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Idzes J.
16'
Pinamonti A.
21'
Bernasconi L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Sassuolo and Atalanta finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sassuolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sassuolo
40%
Draws
29%
Atalanta
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sassuolo come out ahead of Atalanta on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 20%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo Atalanta
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Atalanta
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Sassuolo
0:3
Feb 17, 2024 Serie A
Atalanta vs Sassuolo
3:0
Jan 3, 2024 Coppa Italia
Atalanta vs Sassuolo
3:1
Aug 20, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Atalanta
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thorstvedt K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Atalanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Musah Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo 32 / 100
Atalanta 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo Atalanta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sassuolo scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Atalanta has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sassuolo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo VS Atalanta
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo

(Home)
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 0
Sassuolo
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
24 May
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
17 May
Sassuolo
2 : 3
Lecce
08 May
Torino
2 : 1
Sassuolo
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Atalanta

(Away)
22 May
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Atalanta
17 May
Atalanta
0 : 1
Bologna
10 May
AC Milan
2 : 3
Atalanta
02 May
Atalanta
0 : 0
Genoa
27 Apr
Cagliari
3 : 2
Atalanta
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter38276589:3587
2Napoli38237858:3676
3AS Roma382341159:3173
4Como382011765:2971
5AC Milan382010853:3570
6Juventus381912761:3469
7Atalanta381514951:3659
8Bologna381681449:4656
9Lazio3814121241:4054
10Udinese381481645:4850
11Sassuolo381471746:5049
12Torino381291744:6345
13Parma3811121528:4645
14Cagliari3811101740:5343
15Fiorentina389151441:5042
16Genoa3810111741:5141
17Lecce381082028:5038
18Cremonese388102032:5734
19Verona383122325:6121
20Pisa382122426:7118
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)