Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sassuolo vs Atalanta

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Idzes J.
16'
Pinamonti A.
21'
Bernasconi L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Sassuolo and Atalanta finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sassuolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sassuolo
40%
Draws
29%
Atalanta
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atalanta come out ahead of Sassuolo on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 19%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo Atalanta
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Atalanta
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Sassuolo
0:3
Feb 17, 2024 Serie A
Atalanta vs Sassuolo
3:0
Jan 3, 2024 Coppa Italia
Atalanta vs Sassuolo
3:1
Aug 20, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Atalanta
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thorstvedt K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Atalanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Musah Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo 32 / 100
Atalanta 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo Atalanta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sassuolo scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Atalanta has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sassuolo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo VS Atalanta
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo

(Home)
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 0
Sassuolo
25 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 1
Parma
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
24 May
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
17 May
Sassuolo
2 : 3
Lecce
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Atalanta

(Away)
26 Jul
Atalanta
3 : 2
Arezzo
22 May
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Atalanta
17 May
Atalanta
0 : 1
Bologna
10 May
AC Milan
2 : 3
Atalanta
02 May
Atalanta
0 : 0
Genoa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter38276589:3587
2Napoli38237858:3676
3AS Roma382341159:3173
4Como382011765:2971
5AC Milan382010853:3570
6Juventus381912761:3469
7Atalanta381514951:3659
8Bologna381681449:4656
9Lazio3814121241:4054
10Udinese381481645:4850
11Sassuolo381471746:5049
12Torino381291744:6345
13Parma3811121528:4645
14Cagliari3811101740:5343
15Fiorentina389151441:5042
16Genoa3810111741:5141
17Lecce381082028:5038
18Cremonese388102032:5734
19Verona383122325:6121
20Pisa382122426:7118
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)