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Sassuolo vs Lazio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sassuolo host Lazio in the Serie A. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Sassuolo at 1.46 goals for, 1.46 against; Lazio at 1.87 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor Lazio slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.94) point toward Lazio. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sassuolo
30%
Draws
51%
Lazio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lazio come out ahead of Sassuolo on wins alone.
  • Lazio are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 10%
Lazio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sassuolo Lazio
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.46 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs Sassuolo
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Lazio
1:0
May 26, 2024 Serie A
Lazio vs Sassuolo
1:1
Oct 21, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Lazio
0:2
May 3, 2023 Serie A
Lazio vs Sassuolo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sassuolo 10 / 100
Lazio 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sassuolo Lazio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sassuolo's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Lazio has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sassuolo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sassuolo VS Lazio
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sassuolo

(Home)
16 Oct
Frosinone
4 : 2
Sassuolo
11 Oct
Sassuolo
1 : 1
AC Milan
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2
Juventus
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
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Lazio

(Away)
18 Oct
Juventus
0 : 3
Lazio
11 Oct
Lazio
3 : 1
Monza
03 Oct
Lazio
3 : 3
Juve Stabia
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0
Arezzo
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 7 6 1 0 21:9 19
2 Lazio 7 6 1 0 14:4 19
3 AS Roma 7 5 2 0 16:3 17
4 AC Milan 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
5 Como 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
6 Frosinone 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
7 Cagliari 7 4 1 2 6:7 13
8 Juventus 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
9 Napoli 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
10 Torino 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
11 Atalanta 7 3 0 4 10:11 9
12 Lecce 7 3 0 4 9:12 9
13 Sassuolo 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
14 Monza 7 2 1 4 13:15 7
15 Bologna 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
16 Udinese 7 1 1 5 9:16 4
17 Genoa 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
18 Fiorentina 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
19 Parma 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
20 Venezia 7 1 0 6 6:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)